UVA Cavalier Open 2026

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, February 7, 2026 at 4:00 PM

UVA Aquatics and Fitness Center - Charlottesville, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 12%
2 ALLEN Asa 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
3 WANG Ziyao 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1%
3 DADIO Daniel 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
5 SU Ji 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 9% 1%
6 GOSNELL James 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 13% 2%
7 SHELLY Emery 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
8 WERNER Alexander 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
9 BELL Gabriel 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
10 ALPAN Arda 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 20%
11 STRUMLAUF Jacob 100% 99% 87% 50% 15% 2%
12 TEPLESKY Sasha 100% 79% 32% 6% 1% -
13 DIEBLER Noah 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3%
14 SILK Ryan 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 9%
15 SCHUPPIN Charles 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
16 COLBY Jim 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2%
17 KLINE logan 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 47% 13%
18 CLEMMONS William 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
19 SIMS Martin L. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.