Maximum SABER Challenge

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Sunday, February 8, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Maximum Fencing Club - Los Altos, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Yuanhang (Peter) 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 26%
2 KURBANOV TAMIR 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
3 YUNG Nathan 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
3 JECHA Zachary 100% 100% 98% 89% 66% 33% 8%
5 BLACK Conall 100% 95% 68% 26% 4% -
6 LIU Franklin 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 10%
7 TSIH Brendan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 24%
8 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 36% 6%
9 CLAES Emma 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 17% 2%
10 HAGENBUCH Isabella 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 9% -
11 MARSHALL Dylan 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
12 SHKALIKOVA Anastasiia 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9% 1%
13 XIE Jingyan 100% 95% 55% 15% 2% - -
14 GOSAVI Amiya 100% 70% 21% 3% - - -
15 VAN ROY Petra 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
16 LORENTZEN Felix 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
17 PAN Vivienne 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 6% -
18 SEVERT David 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
19 CALLAHAN Macsen 100% 96% 75% 35% 6% - -
20 WONG Greyson 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
21 KIM Connor 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% -
22 KANG Paul 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 5%
23 QIU Sui Pan 100% 94% 71% 38% 13% 2% -
24 FESSLMEIER Andreas 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
25 LI Diya 100% 95% 70% 30% 6% 1% -
26 GOURJI Roman 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
27 CHEN Ethan 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.