Maximum SABER Challenge

Y-10 Mixed Saber

Sunday, February 8, 2026 at 3:30 PM

Maximum Fencing Club - Los Altos, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Chelsea - 4% 21% 40% 28% 6%
2 ANDERSON Bradley - 1% 5% 17% 33% 32% 12%
3 NOWAKOWSKI Zachary - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
3 GOSAVI Amiya 1% 7% 23% 35% 25% 7% 1%
5 VAN ROY Petra - 4% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2%
6 CHEN Brian - 3% 15% 30% 32% 17% 3%
7 PAN Vivienne - 4% 20% 37% 30% 9%
8 MACCARRA Thomas 11% 39% 36% 13% 2% -
9 LAN Rory 47% 40% 11% 1% - -
10 GOURJI Roman 29% 40% 23% 7% 1% - -
11 ZHANG Leon 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
12 GIMELFARB Ethan 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
13 AGGARWAL Keshav < 1% 3% 28% 43% 22% 4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.