February NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOVACS Sophia - - - - 4% 26% 70%
2 LIU Sophie - - 1% 8% 27% 43% 21%
3 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. - - - 2% 39% 59%
3 ZHANG XUANYI - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
5 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. - - - 1% 6% 30% 64%
6 JOHNSON Honor - - - 1% 16% 84%
7 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda - - - - 1% 20% 80%
8 KIM Zoe - - - 8% 59% 33%
9 LU Vivian Y. - - - - 1% 17% 82%
10 JOHNSON Dagny L. - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
11 BOTELLO Natalia - - - - 7% 37% 56%
12 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. - - - 2% 21% 77%
13 JEON Yuju - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
14 MCKEE Brynnley - - - 2% 16% 43% 39%
15 MANN Sophia J. - 3% 13% 30% 35% 17% 2%
16 LIU Yifei - 3% 13% 31% 35% 16% 2%
17 GREENBAUM Atara R. - - - 3% 26% 71%
18 KWON Hannah 2% 10% 26% 33% 22% 7% 1%
19 FERNANDEZ Martina - - 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
20 LIN Nicole - 1% 6% 20% 35% 30% 10%
21 GONG Joy 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
22 CORTEYN Jolien - - - 2% 12% 38% 48%
23 ANDRES Charmaine G. - - - 1% 12% 45% 42%
24 HUAI Delilah - - 2% 12% 33% 40% 13%
25 ANTHONY Alexia B. - 1% 5% 18% 33% 31% 12%
26 FESTA Carina - - 3% 16% 38% 34% 9%
27 SAYLES Nina R. - - - 3% 18% 42% 36%
28 WANG Jiayi 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
29 FEARNS Zara A. - 1% 7% 31% 54% 7%
30 MACKAY Katherine - 3% 14% 32% 33% 15% 3%
31 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 8% 31% 38% 19% 5% - -
32 CHOI Charlotte 1% 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
33 LEE Alexandra B. - - - 1% 7% 35% 58%
34 WANG Gloria Ruoyan - 4% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
35 SCHMIDT Isabel - 1% 9% 28% 37% 20% 4%
36 PARK Geraldyn Sojung 15% 44% 33% 8% - < 1%
37 TABANGAY Heartlyn - 2% 11% 27% 35% 20% 4%
37 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta - - - 3% 20% 49% 27%
39 LIU Sydney 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
40 POSSICK Lola P. - - - 7% 36% 45% 12%
41 OISHI Megumi - - - 2% 15% 42% 40%
42 ZENG Sarah 1% 6% 25% 41% 25% 3% -
43 GAUTAM Sahana - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 8%
44 LIU kai yin aria 1% 10% 27% 35% 22% 5% -
45 GOLDIN Nina - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
46 DEHON Inès 9% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
47 VADASZ Ibla P. - - 1% 9% 28% 40% 21%
48 MANKOVA Varvara 1% 7% 24% 37% 24% 7% 1%
49 LAURI Keira - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
50 WANG YIZHEN 1% 5% 19% 35% 30% 10% 1%
51 CONG Anne 5% 23% 39% 26% 6% -
52 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 40% 42% 16% 2% - -
53 MARYASH Samantha - 5% 17% 31% 30% 14% 3%
54 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 3% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
55 TSUI Natalie - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
56 KAUL Tara 6% 25% 38% 24% 6% - -
57 SO Catelyn 1% 6% 21% 34% 28% 10% 1%
57 WEI JoyAnn 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 2% -
59 CHAVAN Arya 2% 15% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
60 BAIK Sarah 13% 34% 33% 16% 4% - -
61 HUANG Doris 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
62 FAVO Isabella 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
63 GUVEN Coco - 5% 19% 33% 29% 12% 2%
64 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 2% 19% 44% 32% 2% -
65 MILLER Sky - - - 2% 20% 64% 13%
66 DANG Kelia 1% 11% 38% 40% 10% 1% -
67 GUGALA Hanna - 5% 17% 32% 30% 13% 2%
68 BROWN Aria 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
69 DELSOIN Chelsea C. - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
70 VINOGOROVA Sofiia - 3% 15% 31% 32% 16% 3%
71 JIANG Evelyn - 1% 8% 26% 39% 23% 2%
72 LEE Alyson 12% 35% 37% 15% 2% -
73 KONDEV Elizabeth - - 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
73 CHUNG Hailey - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 8%
75 ZOLLER Noelle 2% 14% 34% 34% 14% 2% -
76 DAVIDOVA Kira 1% 8% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
77 HSIEH Lucia 9% 33% 37% 17% 3% - -
78 YOUNG Charlotte G. 3% 19% 39% 31% 8% -
79 WANG Yixuan 1% 7% 25% 41% 25% 2%
80 AWAD Royce 1% 6% 22% 37% 26% 8% 1%
81 HU Anna - 2% 11% 31% 37% 16% 2%
82 SHI Julia 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 2% -
83 CHANG Norah 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
84 KU Alathea-Joy 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
85 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. - - 4% 18% 38% 32% 8%
86 MOON Claire 9% 28% 34% 21% 7% 1% -
87 JUNG Irene - - 1% 4% 18% 41% 36%
88 BORGUETA Madison 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
89 MEYERSON Michelle 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
89 MALEK Zolie - 2% 10% 26% 35% 23% 5%
91 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 2% 14% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
91 NADKARNI Marisa 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
93 TZOU Alexandra - - 1% 12% 45% 36% 6%
93 CROOKS Riley 7% 25% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
93 YUEN Nicole 4% 20% 37% 28% 9% 1% -
96 DIECK Miranda P. 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
97 KRASOWITZ Lucy 33% 40% 20% 5% 1% - -
98 DUFF Caitlin 23% 39% 26% 9% 2% - -
99 HSU Leah - 4% 18% 33% 30% 12% 2%
100 STADNIK Emilia 35% 43% 19% 4% - - -
101 CAI Xinyi 12% 36% 37% 14% 1% -
102 HUANG Rachael 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 8% -
102 LIN Elaine 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
104 KIM Catherine - - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
105 YU Skylar 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
106 DANTULURI Shalini 4% 23% 40% 26% 6% -
107 CASTELO Soleil 19% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
108 LU Elaine - 3% 16% 39% 37% 6%
109 LI Sonia 6% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1% -
110 HAMMERSTROM Aria 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
111 DAMBAL Sasha 2% 13% 30% 32% 18% 4% -
112 DRAGON Rainer - - 3% 16% 39% 35% 7%
113 KNOBEL Sophia 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 3% -
114 WALLER London 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% - -
115 YANG Lea 2% 19% 44% 29% 5% - -
117 BUSH Bethany 2% 15% 35% 33% 12% 2% -
118 ATTIA Jasmine - 3% 15% 35% 35% 10% 1%
119 JEONG Katie - 3% 16% 35% 32% 12% 1%
120 SHEARER Alena 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -
121 LOMOTAN Addison 6% 24% 35% 25% 9% 2% -
122 CHIANG Melissa 11% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
123 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
124 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari - 2% 9% 24% 35% 24% 6%
125 BEVACQUA Aria F. - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 16%
126 HEATH Isabella 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
127 DHAR Layla 2% 16% 35% 33% 12% 1% -
128 DHAR Rana 2% 14% 30% 31% 17% 5% 1%
129 CHEN Ashley - - 4% 18% 37% 32% 8%
129 OCA Merci 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
131 LEOU Korina 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
131 VINOKUR Anita 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% 1% -
133 BARROSO Isabela 14% 37% 34% 13% 2% - -
134 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1% -
135 NEDOPAKA Kateryna 13% 36% 36% 14% 1% -
136 WIGGERS Susan Q. - 1% 6% 25% 41% 24% 3%
137 GENTILE Vittoria 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
138 WANG Callie 1% 6% 21% 33% 27% 11% 2%
139 KWON Ava 21% 41% 28% 8% 1% - -
140 CHIARELLI Valentina 1% 11% 32% 38% 17% 1%
141 KANG Ellie 4% 25% 45% 25% 1% -
142 YADAV Tishya 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% -
143 WONG Natalie 6% 25% 38% 24% 7% 1% -
144 YU Stella 16% 39% 33% 11% 1% - -
145 CHEN Elaine 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
145 KIRBY Skye 24% 42% 26% 7% 1% - -
147 KANG Soeun 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
148 MUND Ruth 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
148 FUNG Iris 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
150 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 17% 40% 31% 10% 2% - -
150 COLTER Aurora 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
150 TENG EMMA 1% 8% 26% 37% 22% 5% -
153 KIM Satie 4% 19% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
154 ONG Lauren 14% 34% 32% 15% 4% - -
154 LONG Jessie 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
156 KIM Saeren 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
157 ISBERG Natalie 9% 29% 36% 20% 5% 1% -
158 DAVIS Jayna M. 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
158 XIE Nora 14% 46% 32% 7% - - -
160 PRESANTH Nandana 41% 43% 14% 2% - -
161 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 7% 29% 40% 21% 3% -
162 SINGER Ellery 7% 24% 35% 24% 9% 1% -
163 LI Jiaying 1% 7% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2%
164 KINKADE Ellie 6% 28% 40% 22% 4% -
165 KO Ariel 55% 37% 8% 1% - - -
165 JACHYMIAK Emilia 34% 41% 20% 5% 1% - -
167 GHOSH Priyanka < 1% 3% 14% 31% 34% 16% 2%
167 HUANG Neila 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
167 DUDNICK Morgan 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
170 GRULICH Rayaana 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
170 LAFFY Lily 31% 43% 21% 4% - - -
172 SAYSON Andrea 12% 35% 36% 15% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.