February NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KOVACS Sophia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
2 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 21%
3 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 59%
3 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
5 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 64%
6 JOHNSON Honor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
7 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
8 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 33%
9 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 82%
10 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 15%
11 BOTELLO Natalia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 56%
12 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
13 JEON Yuju 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
14 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
15 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 2%
16 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 18% 2%
17 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
18 KWON Hannah 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
19 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
20 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 39% 10%
21 GONG Joy 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 10% 1%
22 CORTEYN Jolien 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 48%
23 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 42%
24 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
25 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 42% 12%
26 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 44% 9%
27 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
28 WANG Jiayi 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
29 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 99% 92% 61% 7%
30 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
31 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
32 CHOI Charlotte 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 13% 2%
33 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
34 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 17% 3%
35 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 99% 89% 62% 24% 4%
36 PARK Geraldyn Sojung 100% 85% 41% 8% - < 1%
37 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 4%
37 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 27%
39 LIU Sydney 100% 98% 87% 59% 25% 5% -
40 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 57% 12%
41 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
42 ZENG Sarah 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 3% -
43 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
44 LIU kai yin aria 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5% -
45 GOLDIN Nina 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
46 DEHON Inès 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
47 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
48 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 99% 93% 68% 32% 7% 1%
49 LAURI Keira 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
50 WANG YIZHEN 100% 99% 94% 75% 41% 11% 1%
51 CONG Anne 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
52 BUTMAN Chloe Alexandra 100% 60% 18% 3% - -
53 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 17% 3%
54 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 97% 80% 48% 17% 3% -
55 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
56 KAUL Tara 100% 94% 69% 30% 6% - -
57 SO Catelyn 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 11% 1%
57 WEI JoyAnn 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 2% -
59 CHAVAN Arya 100% 98% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
60 BAIK Sarah 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
61 HUANG Doris 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% -
62 FAVO Isabella 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
63 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
64 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 98% 79% 34% 2% -
65 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77% 13%
66 DANG Kelia 100% 99% 89% 51% 10% 1% -
67 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
68 BROWN Aria 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
69 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 26%
70 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 19% 3%
71 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 25% 2%
72 LEE Alyson 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% -
73 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
73 CHUNG Hailey 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 8%
75 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2% -
76 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
77 HSIEH Lucia 100% 91% 57% 20% 4% - -
78 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 97% 79% 40% 9% -
79 WANG Yixuan 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 2%
80 AWAD Royce 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
81 HU Anna 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 2%
82 SHI Julia 100% 99% 92% 66% 26% 3% -
83 CHANG Norah 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
84 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 2% -
85 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
86 MOON Claire 100% 91% 63% 29% 8% 1% -
87 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 36%
88 BORGUETA Madison 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
89 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
89 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 5%
91 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
91 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
93 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 42% 6%
93 CROOKS Riley 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
93 YUEN Nicole 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
96 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
97 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 67% 27% 6% 1% - -
98 DUFF Caitlin 100% 77% 37% 11% 2% - -
99 HSU Leah 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
100 STADNIK Emilia 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
101 CAI Xinyi 100% 88% 53% 16% 1% -
102 HUANG Rachael 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 8% -
102 LIN Elaine 100% 99% 88% 62% 28% 7% 1%
104 KIM Catherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
105 YU Skylar 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% 1% -
106 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 96% 73% 33% 6% -
107 CASTELO Soleil 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
108 LU Elaine 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 6%
109 LI Sonia 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
110 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 95% 75% 41% 14% 2% -
111 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 98% 85% 55% 23% 5% -
112 DRAGON Rainer 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 7%
113 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 4% -
114 WALLER London 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
115 YANG Lea 100% 98% 79% 35% 5% - -
117 BUSH Bethany 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
118 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11% 1%
119 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 1%
120 SHEARER Alena 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
121 LOMOTAN Addison 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
122 CHIANG Melissa 100% 89% 56% 22% 4% - -
123 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
124 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 30% 6%
125 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
126 HEATH Isabella 100% 88% 56% 22% 4% - -
127 DHAR Layla 100% 98% 82% 47% 14% 2% -
128 DHAR Rana 100% 98% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
129 CHEN Ashley 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
129 OCA Merci 100% 94% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
131 LEOU Korina 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
131 VINOKUR Anita 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
133 BARROSO Isabela 100% 86% 50% 15% 2% - -
134 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1% -
135 NEDOPAKA Kateryna 100% 87% 51% 15% 1% -
136 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 3%
137 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 92% 66% 31% 9% 1% -
138 WANG Callie 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
139 KWON Ava 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% - -
140 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 1%
141 KANG Ellie 100% 96% 71% 26% 1% -
142 YADAV Tishya 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
143 WONG Natalie 100% 94% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
144 YU Stella 100% 84% 45% 13% 1% - -
145 CHEN Elaine 100% 96% 74% 36% 10% 1% -
145 KIRBY Skye 100% 76% 33% 8% 1% - -
147 KANG Soeun 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
148 MUND Ruth 100% 98% 86% 57% 23% 5% -
148 FUNG Iris 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
150 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 83% 43% 12% 2% - -
150 COLTER Aurora 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 10% 1%
150 TENG EMMA 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 6% -
153 KIM Satie 100% 96% 77% 42% 14% 2% -
154 ONG Lauren 100% 86% 51% 19% 4% - -
154 LONG Jessie 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
156 KIM Saeren 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
157 ISBERG Natalie 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
158 DAVIS Jayna M. 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1% -
158 XIE Nora 100% 86% 40% 8% - - -
160 PRESANTH Nandana 100% 59% 16% 2% - -
161 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 93% 64% 24% 3% -
162 SINGER Ellery 100% 93% 69% 34% 10% 2% -
163 LI Jiaying 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 13% 2%
164 KINKADE Ellie 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
165 KO Ariel 100% 45% 8% 1% - - -
165 JACHYMIAK Emilia 100% 66% 25% 5% 1% - -
167 GHOSH Priyanka 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 2%
167 HUANG Neila 100% 63% 21% 3% - - -
167 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
170 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
170 LAFFY Lily 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
172 SAYSON Andrea 100% 88% 53% 17% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.