February NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIEFER Lee O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94%
2 CALISE Ella 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 7%
3 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
3 STUTCHBURY Carolina J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 66%
5 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
6 WANG YIRAN 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 19%
7 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 62%
8 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
9 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
10 SHEN Emilia 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32% 1%
11 SUN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 17%
12 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 92%
13 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94%
14 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 12% 1%
15 YANG Emma 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 6%
16 ZOU Ella 100% 97% 79% 43% 12% 1%
17 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 20%
18 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
19 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 97% 78% 39% 8%
19 WANG YiXi 100% 100% 99% 90% 45% 1%
21 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
22 CHUN Adelle Ha-Eune 100% 97% 78% 41% 11% 1%
23 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 14%
24 TANG Melody Fujiao 100% 96% 75% 38% 9% 1%
25 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
25 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
27 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 32% 6%
28 HO Addison 100% 87% 51% 16% 2% -
29 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39%
30 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 13%
31 FENG Audrey 100% 100% 94% 68% 27% 5% -
32 EYER Brooke 100% 70% 23% 3% - - -
33 LI Han (Helina) 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% 1% -
34 XUE Alanna L. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 9%
35 LIN Zhi Tong 100% 100% 100% 94% 66% 24% 2%
36 YANG Iris 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
37 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
38 ZHANG Soleil C. 100% 99% 91% 61% 23% 4%
39 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 25%
40 KIM Claire 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
41 FENG Grace 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% 1%
42 GU Maggie Runlin 100% 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% -
43 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 14% 2%
44 TAKAMIZAWA Yukari 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 26%
45 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
46 KIM Sydney 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
47 LEUNG Mei Hang (Danise) 100% 100% 98% 83% 33% 1%
48 DIMATULAC Elise Ann 100% 97% 77% 36% 8% 1%
49 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% -
50 WANG Amabel 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% -
51 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 99% 91% 62% 21% 3%
52 ZHANG Ivy 100% 95% 65% 24% 4% - -
53 MI Aileen 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4%
54 SERBAN Samantha M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 9%
55 SAKALLA Serene 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
56 PALMER Meredith K. 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 11% 1%
57 WANG DINA C. 100% 78% 36% 9% 1% - -
58 ANDREYENKA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 56% 3%
59 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 98% 80% 42% 10% 1%
60 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
61 YANG Audrey 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3%
62 ANDREYENKA Yana 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 16%
63 FETECAU Ilinca 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
64 LAI Sophia 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 4% -
65 HARRIS Julia 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
66 HSU Kaylin 100% 99% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
67 HAYES Nadia 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
68 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
69 KIM Hyeonwon Stella 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% -
70 LIU Angel(Daying) 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2%
71 MCSHERRY Ava 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
72 TSIMIKLIS Aphrodite 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
73 BROWN Lola 100% 92% 60% 18% 2% - -
74 XIE Lillian 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
75 KIM Rachel 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8% -
76 JOO Natalie 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 4% -
77 LIU Samantha 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
78 LIU Enjia Sherry liu 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1% -
79 WANG SIQI 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1% -
80 WU Nicole M. 100% 87% 44% 11% 1% -
81 KORABLINA Aleksandra 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 38%
81 WANG CAROL 100% 93% 59% 20% 3% -
83 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
84 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 6%
85 MORADI Raiyan N. 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% -
86 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 6%
87 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 6% -
88 KOKES Aurora 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 44% 10%
89 AADHI Hansika 100% 96% 66% 25% 4% - -
90 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 10% -
91 KRAHE Annika 100% 74% 23% 3% - - -
92 ESTEBAN Maxine Isabel 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
93 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% - -
94 MANCINI Ludovica 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 13%
95 SHENG Katherine 100% 96% 76% 39% 11% 1% -
96 YURKOVA Mariia 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
97 PUTHOFF Olivia 100% 83% 40% 10% 1% -
98 NAMGALAURI Mariam 100% 100% 94% 73% 35% 6%
99 ZHOU Joi 100% 81% 37% 6% - -
100 SUN Emily 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% -
101 COOPER Piper W. 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% -
102 WATSON Evelyn 100% 73% 26% 3% - -
103 ORBE-AUSTIN Nia 100% 50% 11% 1% - -
104 STRUGAR Steliana 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% -
105 CULLIVAN Sienna 100% 83% 39% 6% - -
106 HU Jenna 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
107 LI Joy 100% 78% 33% 6% - - -
108 RENTON Samantha 100% 98% 81% 44% 11% 1% -
109 OH Ceana 100% 98% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
110 SHMUKLER Maria 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
110 MATOS MENA Deyanara 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
112 WYNN Kylie 100% 90% 56% 20% 4% - -
113 FIELD Elizabeth 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
114 OWENS Elise 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
115 SHICK Veronika 100% 39% 6% - - - -
116 BING Charlotte 100% 87% 52% 17% 3% -
117 HARRIS Parker 100% 63% 19% 2% - -
118 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
119 SHIM Grace J. 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
120 KAPRAN Anastasia 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
121 LI Savannah 100% 49% 10% 1% - -
122 YU Jane 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
123 WANG Joanna 100% 83% 45% 13% 2% -
124 WU Chingfei Amber 100% 51% 9% 1% - - -
125 QUINN Anna 100% 55% 13% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.