February NAC

Veteran Men's Saber

Thursday, February 12, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	REA Franklin T.	-	-	-	1%	15%	54%	29%
2	ABDELLAHI Aziz	-	7%	26%	37%	24%	6%	-
3	BUSH Joshua C.	-	-	-	-	7%	43%	49%
3	CHEN Brian	1%	11%	33%	36%	17%	3%	-
5	HERRERA Richard K.	-	-	-	-	4%	28%	68%
6	TERENTIEV Max	-	1%	6%	22%	39%	28%	4%
7	DUDNICK Christian P.	1%	17%	51%	25%	5%	-	-
8	CRETEN joachim	1%	16%	35%	31%	14%	3%	-
9	ZIRKLE James	-	-	2%	11%	33%	41%	13%
10	TOPPER Michael	-	-	-	3%	15%	41%	41%
11	BACON Michael F.	-	-	-	6%	27%	43%	23%
12	GUEBLE Jeffrey R.	-	-	3%	22%	41%	28%	6%
13	MALNATI Donald H.	-	-	1%	8%	30%	42%	19%
14	ROBLES Julio C.	-	1%	9%	28%	39%	21%	2%
15	ESCUETA Jr Tony V.	-	-	3%	18%	46%	32%
16	KRASOWITZ Jason	-	1%	7%	27%	44%	22%
17	ZOLLER Matthew	-	1%	9%	34%	45%	11%	1%
18	HU David	3%	23%	40%	26%	7%	1%	-
19	LILLARD Samuel N.	-	1%	8%	34%	39%	17%	2%
20	CHU Kevin	-	-	-	2%	12%	41%	45%
21	WAXLER Aaron M.	1%	7%	27%	41%	22%	3%
22	SZULIM Rad	11%	39%	36%	12%	2%	-
23	MOODY Paul J.	2%	18%	37%	30%	11%	2%	-
24	DAHL Chris	-	4%	21%	38%	28%	8%	-
25	REMETE Tomas	12%	37%	36%	12%	1%	-	-
26	CHO Yutong	6%	29%	41%	20%	4%	-
27	SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L.	1%	12%	32%	35%	17%	3%	-
28	KRASNICH Mike	-	2%	13%	34%	36%	13%	1%
29	WANG Albert	7%	34%	38%	17%	4%	-	-
30	STONE Brad	30%	53%	16%	1%	-	-	-
31	STATEN Joseph	39%	43%	16%	2%	-	-
32	PINTO Augusto	16%	40%	33%	10%	1%	-	-
33	BOYLAN John R.	-	3%	16%	33%	32%	13%	2%
34	HICHA Paul R.	1%	8%	29%	42%	19%	2%	-
35	MYERS Brent M.	-	2%	12%	31%	37%	17%	2%
36	ELDER John	1%	9%	30%	38%	18%	3%	-
37	DHAR asif	22%	43%	27%	6%	-	-	-
38	SIMS Martin L.	62%	32%	6%	-	-	-	-
39	YADAV Ajay	79%	19%	2%	-	-	-	-
40	WEBER Jeffrey	62%	32%	5%	-	-	-	-
41	GREEN Robert	48%	44%	8%	-	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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