February NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Friday, February 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ANDRES Charmaine G. - - - - 4% 27% 69%
2 ZENG Sarah - 4% 18% 37% 32% 10%
3 ZHANG XUANYI - - - 2% 13% 40% 45%
3 JEON Yuju - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
5 LAURI Keira - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 26%
6 TSUI Natalie - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
7 BEVACQUA Aria F. - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 25%
8 JIANG Evelyn - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
9 CHIARELLI Valentina - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
10 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
11 CHAVAN Arya - 4% 19% 36% 29% 10% 1%
12 ANTHONY Alexia B. - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
13 AWAD Royce - 3% 14% 32% 34% 16% 3%
14 FAVO Isabella 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
15 VINOGOROVA Sofiia - 5% 19% 36% 31% 10%
16 CASTELO Soleil 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
17 MCKEE Brynnley - - - 3% 15% 41% 40%
18 SHI Julia - 1% 7% 23% 36% 27% 7%
19 YANG Lea - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 4%
20 TABANGAY Heartlyn - - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
21 VINOKUR Anita 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
22 YOUNG Charlotte G. - 6% 26% 40% 24% 5%
22 WANG Yixuan - 2% 13% 34% 36% 14%
24 WANG Callie - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
25 LIU Yifei - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 24%
26 JUNG Irene - - 1% 7% 25% 41% 26%
27 CHANG Norah 1% 9% 24% 33% 24% 9% 1%
28 SCHMIDT Isabel - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 14%
29 MACKAY Katherine - 2% 9% 25% 35% 23% 5%
30 MARYASH Samantha - 2% 9% 27% 37% 21% 4%
31 WANG Jiayi - 3% 15% 32% 33% 16% 3%
32 HUANG Rachael - 3% 12% 29% 34% 18% 3%
33 HUAI Delilah - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
34 GUVEN Coco - 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 3%
35 KIM Saeren 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% < 1% -
36 LU Elaine - - 1% 8% 26% 41% 23%
37 FERNANDEZ Martina - 1% 7% 24% 41% 28%
38 LEOU Korina 2% 11% 29% 35% 20% 4%
39 MANN Sophia J. - - 1% 8% 25% 41% 26%
40 CHOI Charlotte - 2% 11% 28% 37% 19% 3%
41 DANG Kelia - - 3% 16% 35% 33% 11%
42 DAMBAL Sasha 2% 10% 26% 32% 22% 7% 1%
43 ATTIA Jasmine - 2% 9% 24% 34% 24% 7%
44 HSIEH Lucia 2% 18% 36% 30% 12% 2% -
45 KANG Ellie - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
45 LIU kai yin aria - 2% 13% 30% 35% 18% 3%
47 HUANG Doris - 3% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
48 ZOLLER Noelle - 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
49 LONG Jessie 1% 6% 21% 34% 27% 10% 1%
50 WIGGERS Susan Q. - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
51 VADASZ Ibla P. - - 2% 9% 28% 40% 21%
52 MANKOVA Varvara - 3% 13% 29% 33% 18% 4%
53 HSU Leah 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
54 CONG Anne - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
55 FESTA Carina - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 19%
56 BUSH Bethany 2% 11% 29% 34% 19% 5% 1%
56 HEATH Isabella 2% 15% 36% 32% 13% 2% -
58 KAUL Tara 3% 17% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
59 CHUNG Hailey - 3% 15% 33% 34% 13%
60 GOLDIN Nina 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
61 CHEN Ashley - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 13%
62 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 1% 6% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
63 DIECK Miranda P. 9% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
63 BORTAI Eliza 5% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
65 SO Catelyn - 1% 5% 19% 37% 30% 7%
66 PARK Geraldyn Sojung - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 1%
67 OCA Merci 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
68 YUEN Nicole 4% 18% 31% 28% 14% 4% -
69 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. - 1% 5% 20% 38% 30% 7%
70 LEE Alyson - 18% 41% 31% 9% 1%
71 BROWN Aria 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
72 KU Alathea-Joy 2% 14% 31% 33% 16% 4% -
73 YU Skylar 4% 17% 32% 30% 14% 3% -
74 LEI Zitong (Meya) 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
75 CHEN Elaine 1% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
76 WALLER London 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 5% -
77 BAIK Sarah 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
78 WANG Gloria Ruoyan - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
79 GAIKWAD Ashmiee - 18% 41% 31% 9% 1%
80 LIN Nicole - 2% 13% 33% 37% 14%
81 GAY Sasha 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
82 MEYERSON Michelle 8% 30% 37% 20% 5% -
83 CHIANG Melissa 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
84 KONDEV Elizabeth - 2% 12% 31% 37% 18%
85 YU Stella 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
86 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. - - 1% 6% 24% 41% 28%
86 DHAR Rana - 2% 12% 30% 36% 18% 2%
88 YUN Yeju 16% 35% 31% 14% 3% - -
89 MUND Ruth 1% 5% 18% 34% 30% 12% 1%
90 DANTULURI Shalini - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
91 BARROSO Isabela 1% 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% -
91 HUANG Pierra 2% 13% 29% 33% 18% 5% -
93 HUANG Neila 17% 43% 29% 9% 1% - -
94 DUDNICK Morgan 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
94 DAVIDOVA Kira - 4% 17% 33% 32% 13% 2%
94 CHERUKURI Tanvi 31% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
97 YADAV Tishya 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
98 KWON Hannah - 3% 13% 29% 34% 19% 3%
99 SINGER Ellery 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
100 KNOBEL Sophia 3% 14% 29% 31% 18% 5% 1%
100 LOURENCO Alexandra 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
102 ZHAO Selena 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
103 KINKADE Ellie 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
104 LAFFY Lily 37% 43% 17% 3% - - -
105 LI Sonia 5% 22% 37% 26% 9% 1%
106 CROOKS Riley 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
107 GUGALA Hanna 1% 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
108 MOON Claire 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
109 HU Anna - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
110 WANG YIZHEN - 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5%
111 GAUTAM Sahana - 1% 5% 18% 35% 32% 10%
112 KIM Satie 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
113 CHAMI Lana 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2% -
114 STADNIK Emilia 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
114 KANG Soeun 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
116 LIU Sydney - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
117 KO Ariel 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
118 CHEN Victoria 31% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
119 GENTILE Vittoria 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
120 KRASOWITZ Lucy 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
121 WANG JiaQi 28% 42% 23% 6% 1% - -
121 LI Jiaying - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
123 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 8% 29% 36% 20% 6% 1% -
124 JEONG Katie - 3% 12% 26% 33% 21% 5%
125 GONG Joy - 1% 10% 27% 36% 22% 5%
126 CAI Xinyi 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1%
127 MALEK Zolie - 3% 18% 38% 32% 8%
128 WEI JoyAnn 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
129 MUNGUIA Mila 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
130 LOMOTAN Addison 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
131 WONG Natalie 10% 30% 35% 20% 5% 1% -
132 KIM isabel 41% 42% 15% 2% - - -
133 DUFF Caitlin 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% -
134 LIN Elaine 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
135 SHEARER Alena 27% 43% 23% 6% 1% -
135 ZHAI AMY 19% 38% 30% 11% 2% -
137 XIE Nora 5% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
138 TENG EMMA 1% 9% 28% 35% 20% 5% 1%
139 FUNG Iris 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
140 JEFFORDS Sophia 12% 31% 33% 18% 5% 1% -
140 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 4% 21% 34% 27% 12% 2% -
142 NADKARNI Marisa 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1% -
143 DHAR Layla 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
144 GRULICH Rayaana 1% 9% 29% 35% 20% 5% 1%
144 NEDOPAKA Kateryna 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 4% -
146 PRESANTH Nandana 7% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1% -
147 VILLAMATER Mia Franchesca 69% 27% 4% - - - -
148 JACHYMIAK Emilia 15% 35% 33% 14% 3% - -
149 SAYSON Andrea 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 4% -
150 BORGUETA Madison 10% 31% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
150 ONG Lauren 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
150 KIRBY Skye 13% 39% 34% 12% 2% - -
153 KWON Ava 9% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
154 TEYSSIER Katherine 6% 26% 36% 23% 8% 1% -
154 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 6% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1% -
156 DEHON Inès 16% 40% 31% 11% 2% -
156 UEMOTO Lynn 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -
158 KHOST Maeve 31% 42% 21% 5% 1% - -
159 MADDES Alexa 100% - - - - -
160 BERRIOS Catalina 32% 41% 21% 5% 1% - -
160 ZHENG Yuhan 13% 40% 33% 12% 2% - -
162 OEI Allyson 66% 29% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.