February NAC

Junior Women's Saber

Friday, February 13, 2026 at 3:00 PM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
3 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
3 JEON Yuju 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
5 LAURI Keira 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
6 TSUI Natalie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
7 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
8 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 8%
9 CHIARELLI Valentina 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
10 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 8%
11 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
12 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42%
13 AWAD Royce 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 18% 3%
14 FAVO Isabella 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
15 VINOGOROVA Sofiia 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
16 CASTELO Soleil 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
17 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
18 SHI Julia 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 7%
19 YANG Lea 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 4%
20 TABANGAY Heartlyn 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 12%
21 VINOKUR Anita 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2%
22 YOUNG Charlotte G. 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 5%
22 WANG Yixuan 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 14%
24 WANG Callie 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
25 LIU Yifei 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
26 JUNG Irene 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
27 CHANG Norah 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
28 SCHMIDT Isabel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
29 MACKAY Katherine 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 28% 5%
30 MARYASH Samantha 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 4%
31 WANG Jiayi 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
32 HUANG Rachael 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 21% 3%
33 HUAI Delilah 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
34 GUVEN Coco 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
35 KIM Saeren 100% 88% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
36 LU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 23%
37 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
38 LEOU Korina 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
39 MANN Sophia J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
40 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 23% 3%
41 DANG Kelia 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 44% 11%
42 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 98% 88% 62% 30% 8% 1%
43 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
44 HSIEH Lucia 100% 98% 80% 44% 15% 3% -
45 KANG Ellie 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
45 LIU kai yin aria 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
47 HUANG Doris 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
48 ZOLLER Noelle 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
49 LONG Jessie 100% 99% 93% 72% 38% 11% 1%
50 WIGGERS Susan Q. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
51 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
52 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 4%
53 HSU Leah 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
54 CONG Anne 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
55 FESTA Carina 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 19%
56 BUSH Bethany 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
56 HEATH Isabella 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
58 KAUL Tara 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
59 CHUNG Hailey 100% 100% 97% 81% 48% 13%
60 GOLDIN Nina 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
61 CHEN Ashley 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 13%
62 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 10% 1%
63 DIECK Miranda P. 100% 91% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
63 BORTAI Eliza 100% 95% 72% 36% 10% 1% -
65 SO Catelyn 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 7%
66 PARK Geraldyn Sojung 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 1%
67 OCA Merci 100% 96% 76% 41% 13% 2% -
68 YUEN Nicole 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
69 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 7%
70 LEE Alyson 100% 100% 82% 42% 10% 1%
71 BROWN Aria 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
72 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
73 YU Skylar 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 3% -
74 LEI Zitong (Meya) 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
75 CHEN Elaine 100% 99% 85% 51% 19% 4% -
76 WALLER London 100% 98% 87% 57% 24% 5% -
77 BAIK Sarah 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
78 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
79 GAIKWAD Ashmiee 100% 100% 82% 41% 10% 1%
80 LIN Nicole 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
81 GAY Sasha 100% 97% 78% 41% 12% 1%
82 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% -
83 CHIANG Melissa 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% -
84 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 18%
85 YU Stella 100% 98% 85% 53% 21% 4% -
86 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
86 DHAR Rana 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 2%
88 YUN Yeju 100% 84% 49% 18% 4% - -
89 MUND Ruth 100% 99% 95% 76% 43% 12% 1%
90 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
91 BARROSO Isabela 100% 99% 85% 53% 20% 4% -
91 HUANG Pierra 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
93 HUANG Neila 100% 83% 39% 10% 1% - -
94 DUDNICK Morgan 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
94 DAVIDOVA Kira 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
94 CHERUKURI Tanvi 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
97 YADAV Tishya 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2% -
98 KWON Hannah 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 22% 3%
99 SINGER Ellery 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
100 KNOBEL Sophia 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 6% 1%
100 LOURENCO Alexandra 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
102 ZHAO Selena 100% 99% 87% 57% 23% 5% -
103 KINKADE Ellie 100% 99% 94% 73% 39% 11% 1%
104 LAFFY Lily 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
105 LI Sonia 100% 95% 73% 36% 10% 1%
106 CROOKS Riley 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
107 GUGALA Hanna 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
108 MOON Claire 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% -
109 HU Anna 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 28% 5%
110 WANG YIZHEN 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
111 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
112 KIM Satie 100% 99% 89% 64% 30% 7% 1%
113 CHAMI Lana 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
114 STADNIK Emilia 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
114 KANG Soeun 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
116 LIU Sydney 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
117 KO Ariel 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
118 CHEN Victoria 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
119 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 91% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
120 KRASOWITZ Lucy 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
121 WANG JiaQi 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
121 LI Jiaying 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
123 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
124 JEONG Katie 100% 100% 97% 86% 59% 27% 5%
125 GONG Joy 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 5%
126 CAI Xinyi 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
127 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 8%
128 WEI JoyAnn 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
129 MUNGUIA Mila 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
130 LOMOTAN Addison 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4% -
131 WONG Natalie 100% 90% 60% 26% 6% 1% -
132 KIM isabel 100% 59% 17% 2% - - -
133 DUFF Caitlin 100% 74% 32% 8% 1% -
134 LIN Elaine 100% 99% 88% 61% 26% 5%
135 SHEARER Alena 100% 73% 30% 6% 1% -
135 ZHAI AMY 100% 81% 42% 13% 2% -
137 XIE Nora 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1% -
138 TENG EMMA 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 6% 1%
139 FUNG Iris 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
140 JEFFORDS Sophia 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
140 HALPERIN Elizabeth H. 100% 96% 75% 41% 14% 3% -
142 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
143 DHAR Layla 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 5% -
144 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
144 NEDOPAKA Kateryna 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 4% -
146 PRESANTH Nandana 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
147 VILLAMATER Mia Franchesca 100% 31% 4% - - - -
148 JACHYMIAK Emilia 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -
149 SAYSON Andrea 100% 96% 79% 47% 18% 4% -
150 BORGUETA Madison 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
150 ONG Lauren 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
150 KIRBY Skye 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
153 KWON Ava 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
154 TEYSSIER Katherine 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
154 HUGHES-WILLIAMS Adelayde 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
156 DEHON Inès 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% -
156 UEMOTO Lynn 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
158 KHOST Maeve 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
159 MADDES Alexa 100% - - - - -
160 BERRIOS Catalina 100% 68% 27% 6% 1% - -
160 ZHENG Yuhan 100% 87% 47% 14% 2% - -
162 OEI Allyson 100% 34% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.