The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE FOR:
(1) Jason Liu and (2) Abdel Salem on May 13th!

Learn More

Event Results

Junior Men's Saber

February NACSurprise Map

Sunday, February 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM Duke Energy Convention Center · Cincinnati, OH, USA
203 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 CHOI Silas V V V V V V V V V V V V V 5.6 6 +0.4
2 ERMAKOV Semeon V V V V V V V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
3 KIM Shaun M. V V V D V V V V V V D 4.6 4 -0.6
3 KIM ELIJAH V V V V D V V V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
5 PRIMUS Nazir V V V V V V V V V V D 5.4 6 +0.6
6 WANG Daniel V V D V V V V V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
7 JOO Jeein V V V V V D V V V V D 5.0 5 -
8 TSE Aiden J V V V V V D V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
9 ATANASSOV Vasil V. V V V V V V V V V D 5.4 6 +0.6
10 CHON Collin V V V V D V V V V D 4.5 5 +0.5
11 MUNGUIA Nathan V V D V V V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
12 PINTO Marcus V V V V D V V V V D 3.3 5 +1.7
13 CHEONG Heonjun V D V V V V V V V D 5.0 5 -
14 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. V V V D V V V V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
15 ANTHONY Devyn V. V V V D V V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
16 KIM Ethan D D V V V V V V V D 4.5 4 -0.5
17 FALCON-KORB Mathis V V V V V V V D 3.2 5 +1.8
18 NG Jonathan V V V V V V V V D 4.7 6 +1.3
19 GUFFEY Christopher V V V V V V V V D 5.2 6 +0.8
20 KWALWASSER Eric V V V V V V V V D 4.9 6 +1.1
21 ZHANG Kaixuan V V V V V V V V D 3.2 6 +2.8
22 ZHAO Lucas V V D V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
23 CHEN Samuel V D V V V V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
24 LU Xinzhen V V V V D V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
25 LIM William J. V V V D V V V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
26 ANDRES Michael V V V V D V V V D 4.1 5 +0.9
27 WANG Samuel V V V V D V V D 3.4 4 +0.6
28 HOLZ Lucas D V V V D V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
29 CAO Oliver D D V V V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
30 LIN Maxim D V V D V V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
31 WEI Rian D V D V D V V V D 3.0 3 -
32 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. V D V D D D V V V D 3.5 2 -1.5
33 MICLAUS Justin V V V V V V V D 5.4 6 +0.6
34 LEE Noah V V V V V V V D 4.5 6 +1.5
34 CHUNG Connor V V V V V V V D 4.2 6 +1.8
36 MATTOO Deven D V V V V V V D 4.0 5 +1.0
37 NAZLYMOV Andrei V V D V V V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
38 HOLZ Daniel V V V D V V V D 5.5 5 -0.5
39 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu V V V V V D V D 5.0 5 -
40 LIN Daniel V D V V V V V D 4.7 5 +0.3
41 LI Yiwei V V V V D V V D 3.4 5 +1.6
42 LI Alex Y. V V D V V V V D 2.2 5 +2.8
43 GERSTMANN Max T. V D V V V V V D 2.7 5 +2.3
44 JI Johnson V V D V V V V D 2.4 5 +2.6
45 KIM Kendrick V V V V D V D 3.3 4 +0.7
46 YANG Phillip V D V V V V D 2.6 4 +1.4
47 PAVLENISHVILI Luke D V D V V V V D 2.2 4 +1.8
48 KANG Evan R. V D V V D V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
49 HENDERSON Lucas V V V D V D V D 3.1 4 +0.9
50 RAMANAN Govind V V V D D V V D 3.7 4 +0.3
51 BAE Jason I. D V D V V V V D 4.5 4 -0.5
52 QIU Nathan D V D V V V D 4.4 4 -0.4
53 HUANG Alex F. V V D D V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
54 YAN William D V D V V V D 3.4 3 -0.4
55 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) V V D D V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
56 GANASCIA-LIN Guillaume V V D D V V D 3.2 3 -0.2
57 CIEMINS Henry D V D V V V D 1.8 3 +1.2
58 WANG Will D D V V V V D 2.6 3 +0.4
59 FENG Brendan V V V D D V D 1.9 3 +1.1
60 MATTOO Surya D V V D D V V D 4.2 3 -1.2
61 WANG Jerry V V D D V D V V D 2.6 3 +0.4
62 SO Preston D V D V D V V V D 3.7 3 -0.7
63 DECK Tyson D V V D D V V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
64 WAXLER Ryan V D D V D D V V D 2.7 2 -0.7
65 TENG MATTHEW V V V V V V D 4.4 6 +1.6
66 SU Landon V V V V V D 4.2 5 +0.8
67 RAMANAN Jaisimh V V V V V D D 4.3 5 +0.7
68 WANG Nicolas V D V V V V D 5.2 5 -0.2
69 BOLLU Viren V V V V D V D 2.6 5 +2.4
70 WANG Justin V V V D V D 2.8 4 +1.2
71 LI Howard D V D V V V D 4.9 4 -0.9
72 OH Aster V D D V V V D 2.9 4 +1.1
73 DUMOULIN Gabriel V D V V D V D 3.1 4 +0.9
74 RADJABLI Maximillian V V D V D V D 3.2 4 +0.8
75 PATEL Rayn V V V D D V D 3.8 4 +0.2
76 KHOTLINE Daniel V V D D V V D 2.3 4 +1.7
77 ZHAO Royce V D V V D V D 2.9 4 +1.1
78 KOVALEV Daniil N. V D V D V V D 4.1 4 -0.1
78 AO Christopher V V D D V V D 2.7 4 +1.3
80 ELBAKRY Ahmed Missing ID 0.0 0 -
81 BAI Evan D V V V V D D 3.2 4 +0.8
82 POFF Kainoa D D V V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
83 LI Ayden D D V V V V D 3.2 4 +0.8
84 CLARK Aram D D V V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
85 SUBA Lucas D V V D V D 2.5 3 +0.5
86 BIAN Hongyu V D V V D D 2.5 3 +0.5
87 CHEN Cooper V D V D V D 1.2 3 +1.8
88 WANG ANDREW CHANG D D D V V V D 4.1 3 -1.1
89 LEE Brian D D V V V D D 2.4 3 +0.6
90 KITSON Chase V D D V D V D 2.6 3 +0.4
91 PI Alexander V D D D V V D 4.2 3 -1.2
92 MAKLIN Edward P. V V V D D D D 3.4 3 -0.4
93 GONG Alex D V V V D D D 3.3 3 -0.3
94 LUHAN Zachary V V D D D V D 3.9 3 -0.9
94 WANG Max V D V V D D D 2.7 3 +0.3
96 CONTRACTOR Cyrus V D V V D D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
97 TAO Jeffrey D D V D V V V D 4.3 3 -1.3
97 WONG Lucas V V D V D D V D 3.0 3 -
99 SANGSTER Arden D D V V D V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
100 WANG Tiger V V V D D D V D 3.1 3 -0.1
101 MCDONALD Finn D D V V D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
102 SIDDIQUI Shayan D V D V V D V D 3.7 3 -0.7
103 GONZALEZ Jake D D D V V V V D 3.8 3 -0.8
104 LEE Brady D V V D D V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
105 HU Chris D V V D V D V D 4.7 3 -1.7
106 ALAVE Kyle D V D D V V V D 2.4 3 +0.6
107 HALL Noah D V D D V V V D 1.9 3 +1.1
108 ZHAO Chen Fei V D D V V D V D 3.7 3 -0.7
109 DAI Zihou V V V D D D V D 2.3 3 +0.7
109 IM Tyler D D D V V V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
111 PEREIRA Beckham V D D V D V V D 2.2 3 +0.8
112 LIN Grant V D D V V D V D 2.9 3 +0.1
113 STURGEON Cole V D D V D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
114 VAID Luke V D D V D V D 3.3 2 -1.3
115 ZHANG Shaoxuan V D D V D V D 1.4 2 +0.6
116 YOOK Isaac V D D V D V D 2.0 2 -
117 SALDARINI Glenn D V D V D V D 1.9 2 +0.1
118 NARDINI Nathanael P. D V V D D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
119 CAO Donald V D D D V V D 2.5 2 -0.5
120 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas D D D V V V D 1.7 2 +0.3
121 CARRINGTON IV William T. D D V V D D V D 3.6 2 -1.6
122 WANG Matthew V D D D V D V D 1.7 2 +0.3
123 TSAO Oliver V D D D D V V D 2.0 2 -
124 GREMILLION Obadiah D V V D D D V D 4.0 2 -2.0
125 SRIVATS Vedh D D V D V D V D 2.0 2 -
126 IYER Neil D D D V D V V D 3.0 2 -1.0
127 HERNANDEZ Stanton D D V D V D V D 2.8 2 -0.8
128 MEHAN Nicholas D D V D D V D 3.0 1 -2.0
129 SAGE Sebastian D D D V V V D 2.3 3 +0.7
130 CHEN Jonathan V V V D D D D 3.0 3 -
131 LIM Brandon D D V D V V D 2.0 3 +1.0
132 YADAV Lakshya V D V V D D D 2.3 3 +0.7
133 MEYERSON Jacob V D V D V D 2.7 3 +0.3
134 SHANKWILER Christopher V V D D V D D 3.2 3 -0.2
135 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) D V D D V V D 2.8 3 +0.2
136 ANAND Rishab D V D D V D 1.8 2 +0.2
137 SADHU Neiyam D V D V D D 2.1 2 -0.1
138 BERRIO Carter E. V V D D D D 4.3 2 -2.3
139 CHO RYAN D D V D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
140 CAI Jeff V D V D D D 1.8 2 +0.2
141 ZWAKA Jonas D D D V V D 1.5 2 +0.5
142 CHAN Elliott V D D D V D D 1.8 2 +0.2
142 LIN Felix V D D D V D D 2.9 2 -0.9
144 LUAN Mark D V D D V D D 2.0 2 -
145 KUSHKOV Daniel D V D D V D D 4.5 2 -2.5
146 NGO Maximus D D D D V V D 3.5 2 -1.5
147 LAUB William V D V D D D D 3.3 2 -1.3
148 KANG Evan D D D V D V D 3.6 2 -1.6
149 LAZARTE Gabriel D V V D D D D 1.3 2 +0.7
150 BROWN Andrew D V V D D D D 1.1 2 +0.9
151 LIN Philip T. D D V D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
151 LIU Kevin D V V D D D D 3.4 2 -1.4
151 KOZLOFF Wyatt D V D D D V D 2.0 2 -
154 ONG Dylan D V D V D D D 1.9 2 +0.1
155 KOTVALI Aneesh D V V D D D D 2.3 2 -0.3
156 BALU Aedan V D D D V D D 1.9 2 +0.1
157 LIU Aaron D D V D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
158 AYDOGDU Hakan D V D D V D D 2.4 2 -0.4
159 COPP Max D D V V D D D 0.9 2 +1.1
160 TSAO Alister V D V D D D D 1.1 2 +0.9
161 YANG Dylan V D D D V D D 3.5 2 -1.5
162 GHISLAIN-FERNANDEZ Alexandre V D V D D D D 2.0 2 -
163 CRAIN Bennett V D D D V D D 2.3 2 -0.3
163 SUN Andy D V D D D V D 1.1 2 +0.9
165 CHAN Henry D D V D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
166 WANG Theodore D D V D D D 0.8 1 +0.2
167 UEMOTO Ken D V D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
168 LEE Brandon D D D V D 0.9 1 +0.1
169 PARK Inwoo D D V D D 1.3 1 -0.3
170 FAN Hsiao-Kai(Kai) D V D D D 1.8 1 -0.8
171 LAMTAN Christoffer D D D D V 1.4 1 -0.4
172 SUN Andrew D D D V D 1.9 1 -0.9
173 PORTER Dupree D V D D D D 2.7 1 -1.7
173 YU xiaodao V D D D D D 2.0 1 -1.0
175 VEDRE Neil D D D V D D 2.0 1 -1.0
176 GUREWICH Benjamin D D D V D D 2.6 1 -1.6
176 LEVIN Jacob D D D D V D 1.1 1 -0.1
176 STRUCKER Rocco D V D D D D 1.1 1 -0.1
179 LIU Ethan V D D D D D 1.6 1 -0.6
180 AGARWAAL Yohan D D D D V D 2.7 1 -1.7
181 WONG Caleb W. D D V D D D 1.7 1 -0.7
182 MINASIAN Mason D V D D D D 1.9 1 -0.9
182 CHEN Shawn V D D D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
184 RAJMOHAN Arya D D D V D D 1.4 1 -0.4
185 TASIKAS Pete D V D D D D 1.1 1 -0.1
186 LUCAS William D D V D D D 2.4 1 -1.4
186 CHIEN Nolan D D D V D D 0.4 1 +0.6
188 BIVIJI Ali D D D D D D 3.5 0 -3.5
189 MBERIA Alexander D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5
190 KULKARNI Shreyas D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
191 ATWOOD Griffin D D D D D D 2.7 0 -2.7
191 SUN Ryan D D D D D D 1.1 0 -1.1
193 KANG Matthew D D D D D 2.6 0 -2.6
194 BANSAL Krishiv D D D D D D 1.3 0 -1.3
195 JIANG Terence D D D D D D 0.8 0 -0.8
196 FISCHER Noel D D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5
197 WANG HongXi D D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4
198 EDENFIELD Liam D D D D D D 0.7 0 -0.7
199 COBIAN Richard D D D D D D 1.6 0 -1.6
199 SHI RYAN D D D D D D 0.5 0 -0.5
201 KATZ Nico D D D D D D 0.3 0 -0.3
202 CONRADO David D D D D D D 1.4 0 -1.4
203 KAUFFMAN Davian D D D D D D 0.4 0 -0.4

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%