February NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, February 15, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Duke Energy Convention Center - Cincinnati, OH, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHOI Silas - - - - 4% 27% 69%
2 ERMAKOV Semeon - - 2% 13% 41% 44%
3 KIM Shaun M. - - - 4% 28% 67%
3 KIM ELIJAH - - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
5 PRIMUS Nazir - - - 1% 11% 38% 50%
6 WANG Daniel - - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
7 JOO Jeein - - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
8 TSE Aiden J - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
9 ATANASSOV Vasil V. - - - 1% 9% 35% 55%
10 CHON Collin - - 2% 13% 35% 36% 13%
11 MUNGUIA Nathan - 2% 10% 27% 36% 22% 4%
12 PINTO Marcus - 4% 17% 33% 31% 13% 2%
13 CHEONG Heonjun - - - 4% 20% 43% 33%
14 BELL III Alfred (Tripp) R. - 2% 12% 30% 35% 17% 3%
15 ANTHONY Devyn V. - - 4% 22% 45% 28%
16 KIM Ethan - - 3% 14% 33% 36% 15%
17 FALCON-KORB Mathis - 5% 20% 38% 30% 6%
18 NG Jonathan - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 22%
19 GUFFEY Christopher - - - 3% 17% 41% 38%
20 KWALWASSER Eric - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 27%
21 ZHANG Kaixuan - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
22 ZHAO Lucas - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 7%
23 CHEN Samuel - 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
24 LU Xinzhen - 1% 8% 28% 43% 21%
25 LIM William J. - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
26 ANDRES Michael - 1% 6% 22% 38% 28% 4%
27 WANG Samuel - 2% 13% 35% 38% 11%
28 HOLZ Lucas - 2% 12% 30% 36% 17% 3%
29 CAO Oliver 1% 5% 20% 34% 29% 10% 1%
30 LIN Maxim - 3% 15% 34% 35% 13%
31 WEI Rian 1% 7% 23% 34% 26% 9% 1%
32 SKARBONKIEWICZ Maksymilian A. - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
33 MICLAUS Justin - - - 2% 11% 37% 50%
34 LEE Noah - - 3% 13% 30% 37% 17%
34 CHUNG Connor - 1% 5% 18% 36% 32% 9%
36 MATTOO Deven - 1% 7% 23% 35% 26% 7%
37 NAZLYMOV Andrei - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
38 HOLZ Daniel - - - - 5% 31% 63%
39 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu - - 1% 5% 21% 41% 32%
40 LIN Daniel - - 1% 8% 28% 41% 21%
41 LI Yiwei - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
42 LI Alex Y. 4% 20% 36% 28% 9% 1% -
43 GERSTMANN Max T. 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
44 JI Johnson 2% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
45 KIM Kendrick - 4% 17% 34% 33% 12%
46 YANG Phillip 2% 12% 31% 37% 17% 2%
47 PAVLENISHVILI Luke 4% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1% -
48 KANG Evan R. - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
49 HENDERSON Lucas 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
50 RAMANAN Govind - 2% 11% 28% 35% 20% 4%
51 BAE Jason I. - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 15%
52 QIU Nathan - - 4% 15% 32% 34% 15%
53 HUANG Alex F. - 1% 7% 25% 42% 26%
54 YAN William - 3% 15% 34% 35% 12%
55 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) - 4% 19% 38% 31% 7%
56 GANASCIA-LIN Guillaume - 5% 21% 37% 29% 8%
57 CIEMINS Henry 8% 32% 37% 19% 4% -
58 WANG Will 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
59 FENG Brendan 7% 28% 37% 22% 6% 1%
60 MATTOO Surya - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
61 WANG Jerry 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
62 SO Preston - 2% 11% 28% 36% 20% 2%
63 DECK Tyson 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
64 WAXLER Ryan 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4% -
65 TENG MATTHEW - - 3% 14% 35% 37% 11%
66 SU Landon - - 2% 14% 41% 44%
67 RAMANAN Jaisimh - - 3% 15% 35% 35% 11%
68 WANG Nicolas - - - 4% 18% 42% 36%
69 BOLLU Viren 1% 12% 34% 34% 16% 3% -
70 WANG Justin 1% 9% 26% 35% 22% 5%
71 LI Howard - - 1% 6% 23% 42% 28%
72 OH Aster - 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1%
73 DUMOULIN Gabriel 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
74 RADJABLI Maximillian - 5% 21% 35% 28% 10% 1%
75 PATEL Rayn - 1% 9% 26% 36% 22% 5%
76 KHOTLINE Daniel 3% 19% 35% 28% 12% 2% -
77 ZHAO Royce 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 6% -
78 KOVALEV Daniil N. - - 5% 19% 38% 31% 7%
78 AO Christopher 1% 12% 31% 34% 18% 4% -
81 BAI Evan - 5% 19% 34% 29% 11% 2%
82 POFF Kainoa - 1% 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
83 LI Ayden - 5% 19% 35% 29% 11% 1%
84 CLARK Aram 3% 18% 36% 31% 11% 1%
85 SUBA Lucas 2% 14% 33% 35% 14% 1%
86 BIAN Hongyu 1% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
87 CHEN Cooper 22% 42% 28% 8% 1% -
88 WANG ANDREW CHANG - 1% 6% 20% 36% 29% 9%
89 LEE Brian 3% 17% 34% 30% 13% 3% -
90 KITSON Chase 2% 13% 30% 33% 17% 4% -
91 PI Alexander - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
92 MAKLIN Edward P. 1% 5% 17% 31% 29% 14% 3%
93 GONG Alex - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
94 LUHAN Zachary - 1% 8% 26% 37% 23% 5%
94 WANG Max 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 4% -
96 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% 1%
97 TAO Jeffrey - - 3% 15% 36% 34% 11%
97 WONG Lucas 1% 7% 24% 34% 25% 8% 1%
99 SANGSTER Arden 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
100 WANG Tiger 1% 6% 23% 36% 26% 8% 1%
101 MCDONALD Finn 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
102 SIDDIQUI Shayan - 2% 11% 29% 35% 19% 4%
103 GONZALEZ Jake - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 4%
104 LEE Brady 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
105 HU Chris - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 21%
106 ALAVE Kyle 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
107 HALL Noah 7% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
108 ZHAO Chen Fei - 2% 12% 29% 34% 19% 4%
109 DAI Zihou 3% 18% 35% 30% 12% 2% -
109 IM Tyler 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 9% 1%
111 PEREIRA Beckham 3% 22% 38% 27% 9% 1% -
112 LIN Grant 1% 9% 27% 34% 22% 6% 1%
113 STURGEON Cole 3% 20% 38% 29% 9% 1%
114 VAID Luke - 4% 19% 36% 30% 9%
115 ZHANG Shaoxuan 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% -
116 YOOK Isaac 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
117 SALDARINI Glenn 8% 28% 35% 22% 6% 1%
118 NARDINI Nathanael P. 9% 34% 37% 16% 3% -
119 CAO Donald 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 2%
120 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 9% 31% 36% 19% 4% -
121 CARRINGTON IV William T. - 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
122 WANG Matthew 7% 37% 37% 16% 3% - -
123 TSAO Oliver 7% 26% 37% 23% 6% 1% -
124 GREMILLION Obadiah - 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7%
125 SRIVATS Vedh 4% 27% 39% 23% 7% 1% -
126 IYER Neil 1% 9% 26% 34% 23% 7% 1%
127 HERNANDEZ Stanton 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 5% -
128 MEHAN Nicholas 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
129 SAGE Sebastian 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 2% -
130 CHEN Jonathan 1% 6% 24% 37% 25% 7% 1%
131 LIM Brandon 8% 26% 35% 23% 7% 1% -
132 YADAV Lakshya 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
133 MEYERSON Jacob 1% 9% 31% 39% 18% 3%
134 SHANKWILER Christopher - 5% 20% 33% 28% 11% 2%
135 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 1% 10% 27% 34% 21% 6% 1%
136 ANAND Rishab 6% 32% 40% 19% 4% -
137 SADHU Neiyam 5% 23% 39% 26% 7% 1%
138 BERRIO Carter E. - - 1% 10% 37% 52%
139 CHO RYAN 1% 9% 29% 38% 20% 3%
140 CAI Jeff 9% 30% 37% 20% 4% -
141 ZWAKA Jonas 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% -
142 CHAN Elliott 8% 31% 37% 19% 5% - -
142 LIN Felix 1% 8% 26% 35% 22% 7% 1%
144 LUAN Mark 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
145 KUSHKOV Daniel - - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
146 NGO Maximus - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 2%
147 LAUB William - 5% 18% 33% 30% 13% 1%
148 KANG Evan - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 2%
149 LAZARTE Gabriel 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
150 BROWN Andrew 28% 41% 23% 7% 1% - -
151 LIN Philip T. 2% 20% 40% 29% 8% 1%
151 LIU Kevin - 3% 16% 34% 32% 12% 1%
151 KOZLOFF Wyatt 6% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
154 ONG Dylan 7% 30% 37% 20% 5% 1% -
155 KOTVALI Aneesh 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
156 BALU Aedan 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
157 LIU Aaron 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
158 AYDOGDU Hakan 3% 18% 34% 30% 13% 2% -
159 COPP Max 37% 42% 18% 3% - - -
160 TSAO Alister 26% 41% 25% 7% 1% - -
161 YANG Dylan - 3% 14% 33% 34% 14% 2%
162 GHISLAIN-FERNANDEZ Alexandre 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
163 CRAIN Bennett 3% 20% 36% 29% 10% 2% -
163 SUN Andy 25% 43% 25% 6% 1% - -
165 CHAN Henry 4% 21% 36% 27% 10% 2% -
166 WANG Theodore 40% 41% 15% 3% - -
167 UEMOTO Ken 6% 25% 37% 24% 6% -
168 LEE Brandon 37% 42% 18% 3% - -
169 PARK Inwoo 20% 40% 29% 10% 1% -
170 FAN Hsiao-Kai(Kai) 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% -
171 LAMTAN Christoffer 18% 41% 30% 9% 1% -
172 SUN Andrew 8% 28% 37% 22% 5% -
173 PORTER Dupree 1% 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% -
173 YU xiaodao 6% 25% 36% 24% 8% 1% -
175 VEDRE Neil 6% 27% 38% 22% 6% 1% -
176 GUREWICH Benjamin 2% 12% 30% 34% 18% 4% -
176 LEVIN Jacob 26% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
176 STRUCKER Rocco 28% 41% 23% 6% 1% - -
179 LIU Ethan 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% - -
180 AGARWAAL Yohan 1% 12% 30% 33% 18% 5% -
181 WONG Caleb W. 11% 32% 35% 17% 4% - -
182 MINASIAN Mason 10% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
182 CHEN Shawn 17% 40% 30% 11% 2% - -
184 RAJMOHAN Arya 20% 39% 29% 10% 2% - -
185 TASIKAS Pete 26% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
186 LUCAS William 3% 17% 36% 31% 12% 2% -
186 CHIEN Nolan 65% 30% 5% - - - -
188 BIVIJI Ali < 1% 3% 15% 32% 33% 14% 2%
189 MBERIA Alexander 56% 35% 8% 1% - -
190 KULKARNI Shreyas 44% 39% 14% 2% - - -
191 ATWOOD Griffin 2% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% -
191 SUN Ryan 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
193 KANG Matthew 1% 11% 32% 38% 17% 2%
194 BANSAL Krishiv 21% 43% 28% 8% 1% - -
195 JIANG Terence 40% 41% 16% 3% - - -
196 FISCHER Noel 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
197 WANG HongXi 18% 41% 30% 10% 2% - -
198 EDENFIELD Liam 48% 39% 12% 2% - - -
199 COBIAN Richard 14% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
199 SHI RYAN 57% 34% 8% 1% - - -
201 KATZ Nico 75% 22% 3% - - - -
202 CONRADO David 17% 38% 30% 11% 2% - -
203 KAUFFMAN Davian 65% 30% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.