Manchen Friday Night Foil Open

Senior Mixed Foil

Friday, February 20, 2026 at 6:15 PM

Manchen Academy of Fencing - Whitehouse Station, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 PECK Quinn 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 32%
2 BLACK Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 31%
3 MA Leon 100% 100% 93% 61% 18%
3 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 100% 99% 86% 35% 5%
5 EYER Brooke 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 14%
6 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 100% 100% 98% 85% 46% 8%
7 KOLBINGER Moritz 100% 100% 99% 91% 46%
8 MARTIN Mason 100% 99% 89% 57% 17%
9 SOBON Jason 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 14%
10 DAUM Charlie 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 56%
11 COLEMAN Nathan 100% 92% 55% 13% 1%
12 LUM-DEBONO Alex 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 38%
13 BASILE Gianna 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
14 CHENG Karter 100% 95% 73% 38% 11% 1%
15 KLASNA Spencer 100% 71% 14% 1% - -
16 SHANNON Jack 100% 100% 97% 75% 26%
17 BHATT Jayan 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% -
18 SHICK Veronika 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 2%
19 PEREZ Logan 100% 91% 50% 11% 1%
20 OLAWOYE Jadesola 100% 97% 73% 26% 2%
21 MIRCHANDANI Aditya 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
22 CHO Alexander 100% 100% 95% 62% 8% -
23 DESMOND Sterling 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 16%
24 RAJAT Rivaan 100% 93% 40% 4% - -
25 MUNDAHL Brandon 100% 97% 73% 29% 4%
26 ANDERSON Riley 100% 83% 41% 10% 1% -
27 ALBRECHT-SMITH Anne 100% 67% 21% 2% - -
28 TSIMBERG Jadon 100% 92% 54% 10% 1% -
29 PEARCE Joseph 100% 45% 8% - -
30 ESPINAL Ryan 100% 97% 69% 21% 1% -
31 SCHEURER Edwin 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
32 SIELSKI Evan 100% 52% 12% 1% -
33 HUPART Emerson 100% 95% 67% 27% 5% -
34 HAND Sadie 100% 40% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.