Apex Novice Cup - February

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Apex Fencing Academy - Apex, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JENSEN Luke - 1% 13% 39% 38% 9%
2 GREENWALD Silas 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
3 MCGAHAN Clayton 63% 31% 5% - - < 1%
3 LU Hantian - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
5 HOLLANDER Max 3% 18% 36% 31% 10% 1% < 1%
6 SHEPHERD Waylon - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
7 YAO Emma - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
8 HUANG Alicia 6% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
9 KING Stephan - - 4% 23% 46% 27%
10 SPARKS EVERETT - 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
11 YANG Junbo 20% 45% 28% 7% 1% -
12 BRILLIANT Mabel 1% 11% 31% 36% 17% 3%
13 YEUNG Asher Pak Yu 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
14 LEE Spencer - 7% 28% 39% 22% 4%
15 HOIMES Eliana 2% 12% 31% 35% 17% 3%
16 BASH Benjamin 1% 10% 32% 37% 17% 3%
17 PERRY Deacon 2% 14% 33% 35% 15% 2%
18 XU Harry - 7% 30% 40% 20% 3%
19 PASOTTI Riccardo 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
20 HAYAT Amir 1% 9% 27% 36% 22% 5% -
21 IRIZARRY Liya 17% 36% 30% 13% 3% - -
22 BRAXTON John - 2% 12% 30% 35% 18% 3%
23 VANDERLEY Alayna 7% 29% 38% 21% 5% -
24 GARWOOD Bryan 1% 12% 40% 36% 10% 1%
25 LEWIS Ayden 28% 44% 23% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.