Apex Novice Cup - February

Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Apex Fencing Academy - Apex, NC, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 JENSEN Luke 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 9%
2 GREENWALD Silas 100% 97% 79% 42% 13% 2% -
3 MCGAHAN Clayton 100% 37% 5% - - < 1%
3 LU Hantian 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
5 HOLLANDER Max 100% 97% 78% 42% 11% 1% < 1%
6 SHEPHERD Waylon 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 32%
7 YAO Emma 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
8 HUANG Alicia 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
9 KING Stephan 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 27%
10 SPARKS EVERETT 100% 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
11 YANG Junbo 100% 80% 35% 8% 1% -
12 BRILLIANT Mabel 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
13 YEUNG Asher Pak Yu 100% 99% 92% 70% 36% 9% 1%
14 LEE Spencer 100% 100% 92% 65% 26% 4%
15 HOIMES Eliana 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3%
16 BASH Benjamin 100% 99% 89% 57% 20% 3%
17 PERRY Deacon 100% 98% 85% 51% 17% 2%
18 XU Harry 100% 100% 92% 62% 23% 3%
19 PASOTTI Riccardo 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
20 HAYAT Amir 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5% -
21 IRIZARRY Liya 100% 83% 47% 17% 4% - -
22 BRAXTON John 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 3%
23 VANDERLEY Alayna 100% 93% 64% 27% 5% -
24 GARWOOD Bryan 100% 99% 87% 47% 11% 1%
25 LEWIS Ayden 100% 72% 28% 5% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.