W&M Conomikes-Gutenberg Memorial Open 2026

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 1:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAYUS Oliver 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
2 FEAGIN Patrick 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 10% 1%
3 MILLER Luke 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
3 KELLEY Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 64% 11%
5 CASSIDY Leo 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
6 MCCLEAN III Walter F. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
7 HAYES Nathan P. 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
8 CHAN Ian 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
9 LEWIS Owen 100% 100% 95% 59% 20% 3% -
10 JARRATT Isaac 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 10% 1%
11 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 100% 99% 92% 71% 36% 8%
12 PERI Mourya 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
13 MILLNER Brian 100% 100% 100% 91% 61% 23% 4%
14 SINGH Meet 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 20%
15 LAI Angel 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
16 PANE Patrick 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
17 KEIM Spencer 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
18 MUNDAY Arlie 100% 100% 97% 70% 13% 1% -
19 RHEINECKER Eleanora Grace 100% 99% 92% 62% 21% 3% -
20 SU Jingbo 100% 97% 76% 39% 12% 2% -
21 JARRATT Jacob 100% 98% 68% 27% 6% 1% -
22 KRECK Marie 100% 54% 15% 2% - - -
23 IYER Matthias 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
24 DROLET Julia 100% 53% 13% 1% - - -
25 RAGSDALE Lillian 100% 82% 32% 5% - - -
26 SIMS Martin L. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
27 STOCKHAM Will 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
28 MEYER Maeve 100% 92% 32% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.