RCFC Winter Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WELDON Benjamin - - 1% 7% 37% 55%
2 LEE Andrew - - - 1% 25% 74%
3 LEWIS Michael 1% 13% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
3 LI Timothy 1% 9% 37% 43% 10% 1%
5 WU Alistair - - 1% 10% 32% 41% 15%
6 WEGENER Soren - 1% 11% 35% 41% 12%
7 LEE Daniel 8% 32% 40% 18% 2% -
8 WITECKI Jack 1% 12% 46% 36% 6% -
9 KILUK Andrew - - 1% 11% 47% 41%
10 MAKMATOV Vadim - - - 3% 17% 43% 36%
11 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. - - 1% 12% 51% 35%
12 CHEN Christopher 14% 58% 25% 3% - -
13 RAMIREZ Hunter 31% 44% 21% 4% - -
14 RAMIREZ Tristan 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
15 FABBRO Andrew - 1% 8% 27% 40% 21% 4%
16 SHIRAEV Dmitry 6% 29% 42% 21% 2% -
17 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 5% 45% 40% 10% 1% -
18 WANG Chantal 10% 33% 38% 16% 2% -
19 BACON Corban 7% 31% 41% 19% 2% -
20 BRACCO Cameron 12% 37% 36% 13% 2% -
21 REED David 3% 19% 40% 30% 8% 1%
22 BRAY Bruce 1% 11% 33% 36% 16% 3% -
23 VARNEY John R. < 1% - 2% 18% 64% 17%
24 GE Ray 7% 34% 39% 17% 3% - -
25 UST Daisy 62% 32% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.