RCFC Winter Open

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 10:00 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WELDON Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 55%
2 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 74%
3 LEWIS Michael 100% 99% 85% 51% 16% 2% -
3 LI Timothy 100% 99% 91% 53% 11% 1%
5 WU Alistair 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 15%
6 WEGENER Soren 100% 100% 99% 88% 53% 12%
7 LEE Daniel 100% 92% 60% 20% 2% -
8 WITECKI Jack 100% 99% 88% 42% 6% -
9 KILUK Andrew 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 41%
10 MAKMATOV Vadim 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
11 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 35%
12 CHEN Christopher 100% 86% 28% 3% - -
13 RAMIREZ Hunter 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
14 RAMIREZ Tristan 100% 44% 8% 1% - - -
15 FABBRO Andrew 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 25% 4%
16 SHIRAEV Dmitry 100% 94% 65% 23% 2% -
17 SRINIVASAN Sanat Ram 100% 95% 51% 11% 1% -
18 WANG Chantal 100% 90% 57% 19% 2% -
19 BACON Corban 100% 93% 62% 21% 2% -
20 BRACCO Cameron 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
21 REED David 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% 1%
22 BRAY Bruce 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 3% -
23 VARNEY John R. 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 17%
24 GE Ray 100% 93% 59% 21% 4% - -
25 UST Daisy 100% 38% 6% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.