State Games of Michigan

E & Under Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 9:00 AM

West Michigan Fencing Academy - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 STONE Sydney 5% 22% 36% 27% 9% 1%
2 TATE Linus - 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
3 TATE Liam 1% 9% 31% 44% 16%
3 BEIER Rowan 22% 43% 28% 7% 1%
5 O'MALLEY Paul 4% 21% 41% 29% 6%
6 PHUNG Caitlin 16% 44% 31% 8% 1%
7 NI Aaric - 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
8 GARCIA Fabricio 11% 37% 38% 13% 1%
9 BASS Evan - 2% 13% 42% 43%
10 VANDEVEN Ingrid 5% 36% 41% 16% 2%
11 GARCIA LAURITZEN Sene 8% 40% 39% 11% 1% -
12 DRIVER Atticus 2% 15% 37% 35% 11%
13 DELANGE Nathan 2% 14% 36% 36% 11%
14 AWAD Rhys 9% 30% 37% 19% 4% -
15 SOMERFORD Alex 17% 42% 32% 8% 1%
16 OSORIO Manuel < 1% 12% 34% 35% 16% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.