State Games of Michigan

E & Under Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 9:00 AM

West Michigan Fencing Academy - Grand Rapids, MI, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 STONE Sydney 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
2 TATE Linus 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 20%
3 TATE Liam 100% 99% 91% 59% 16%
3 BEIER Rowan 100% 78% 35% 7% 1%
5 O'MALLEY Paul 100% 96% 75% 34% 6%
6 PHUNG Caitlin 100% 84% 40% 9% 1%
7 NI Aaric 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
8 GARCIA Fabricio 100% 89% 52% 14% 1%
9 BASS Evan 100% 100% 98% 85% 43%
10 VANDEVEN Ingrid 100% 95% 59% 19% 2%
11 GARCIA LAURITZEN Sene 100% 92% 52% 12% 1% -
12 DRIVER Atticus 100% 98% 83% 46% 11%
13 DELANGE Nathan 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
14 AWAD Rhys 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
15 SOMERFORD Alex 100% 83% 41% 9% 1%
16 OSORIO Manuel 100% 100% 88% 54% 18% 3%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.