Mission RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Evan - - - 1% 8% 35% 55%
2 CHIANG William - - 1% 8% 26% 40% 24%
3 LUO Alexander - - - - - 11% 89%
3 KOVAC Blake - 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 8%
5 ARMSTRONG Payson - - 1% 7% 24% 41% 27%
6 MASKIN Mikhail - - 2% 10% 28% 40% 21%
7 FANG Charlie - 4% 22% 43% 31%
8 LIN Aiden 3% 17% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
9 KO Ethan - 2% 11% 31% 38% 18%
10 GUJJA Rishabh - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
11 CHEN Daniel - 1% 4% 17% 34% 32% 11%
12 JIN Noah - 2% 10% 27% 35% 21% 5%
13 ZINCHUK Yuri - 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 1%
14 BAKER Bransen - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15% 1%
15 SCHLUBACH Jasper 1% 10% 27% 34% 22% 7% 1%
16 MILOWSKY Majai 5% 25% 40% 25% 5%
17 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm - 3% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3%
18 LANE Sawyer 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
19 HOREMIOTIS Bennett - 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
19 ZHEN Maxwell 8% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
21 DAI Jason - 1% 6% 21% 38% 29% 5%
22 LAI Jayden - 4% 16% 32% 31% 14% 2%
23 TANG Jayce 1% 6% 23% 36% 27% 8% -
24 BRATU Max - 2% 11% 28% 34% 20% 4%
25 SON Isaac 2% 16% 37% 34% 10%
26 LUO Sebastian 2% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2%
27 XU Yunfei(Dorian) 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
28 YONG Connor - 3% 13% 30% 33% 17% 3%
29 LEE Asher - 4% 19% 36% 30% 10% -
30 WAGNER Miles 42% 41% 15% 2% - - -
31 ZHANG Jacob 7% 27% 37% 22% 6% 1%
32 CHEN Regis 1% 8% 24% 35% 25% 7% 1%
33 CHEN Caleb 31% 43% 21% 5% 1% - -
34 ZHANG Renkui 4% 18% 33% 30% 13% 3% -
36 CHAUDHARY Oliver 26% 43% 24% 6% -
37 CARPENTER Taisei 16% 36% 31% 13% 3% - -
38 LAW Benjamin 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2% -
39 YADAV Aarav 10% 30% 35% 19% 5% 1% -
40 GOOD Adam 25% 41% 25% 8% 1% - -
41 LU Shawn 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 6%
42 LAI Jaxon 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
43 HWANG Christopher 39% 40% 16% 3% - - -
44 KO Caden 3% 18% 34% 29% 13% 3% -
45 ZHU David 4% 22% 36% 26% 9% 2% -
46 LIU FREDERICK - 3% 12% 29% 34% 18% 3%
47 YONG Dylan 1% 10% 29% 36% 20% 4% -
48 XI Eric 12% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
49 AGARWAL Avirat 32% 42% 21% 5% 1% -
50 SALIBA Jackson 12% 37% 36% 14% 2%
51 SARKAR Aum 7% 27% 36% 22% 7% 1% -
52 SCHELTZ Owen 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3% -
53 MAK Nolan 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
54 ZHU Peter 15% 36% 32% 14% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.