Mission RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 55%
2 CHIANG William 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
3 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89%
3 KOVAC Blake 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
5 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
6 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
7 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 95% 74% 31%
8 LIN Aiden 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
9 KO Ethan 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
10 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
11 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 44% 11%
12 JIN Noah 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
13 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
14 BAKER Bransen 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15% 1%
15 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 99% 89% 63% 29% 7% 1%
16 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
17 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
18 LANE Sawyer 100% 99% 94% 72% 35% 8%
19 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
19 ZHEN Maxwell 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
21 DAI Jason 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 34% 5%
22 LAI Jayden 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
23 TANG Jayce 100% 99% 93% 70% 34% 8% -
24 BRATU Max 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 4%
25 SON Isaac 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
26 LUO Sebastian 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2%
27 XU Yunfei(Dorian) 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
28 YONG Connor 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
29 LEE Asher 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10% -
30 WAGNER Miles 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
31 ZHANG Jacob 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
32 CHEN Regis 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
33 CHEN Caleb 100% 69% 26% 5% 1% - -
34 ZHANG Renkui 100% 96% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
36 CHAUDHARY Oliver 100% 74% 31% 6% -
37 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% - -
38 LAW Benjamin 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
39 YADAV Aarav 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
40 GOOD Adam 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
41 LU Shawn 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
42 LAI Jaxon 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 8% 1%
43 HWANG Christopher 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
44 KO Caden 100% 97% 79% 45% 16% 3% -
45 ZHU David 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 2% -
46 LIU FREDERICK 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 21% 3%
47 YONG Dylan 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4% -
48 XI Eric 100% 88% 52% 18% 3% - -
49 AGARWAL Avirat 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% -
50 SALIBA Jackson 100% 88% 51% 15% 2%
51 SARKAR Aum 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
52 SCHELTZ Owen 100% 98% 84% 52% 19% 3% -
53 MAK Nolan 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
54 ZHU Peter 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.