Mission RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
2 CHIANG William 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 24%
3 LUO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89%
3 KOVAC Blake 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
5 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 27%
6 MASKIN Mikhail 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 63% 23%
7 FANG Charlie 100% 100% 95% 74% 30%
8 LIN Aiden 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
9 KO Ethan 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
10 GUJJA Rishabh 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
11 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
12 JIN Noah 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
13 ZINCHUK Yuri 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
14 BAKER Bransen 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15% 1%
15 SCHLUBACH Jasper 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 8% 1%
16 MILOWSKY Majai 100% 95% 72% 32% 6%
17 VINCENT-GRAVENHISE Malcolm 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
18 LANE Sawyer 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 8%
19 HOREMIOTIS Bennett 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 7%
19 ZHEN Maxwell 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
21 DAI Jason 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 6%
22 LAI Jayden 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
23 TANG Jayce 100% 100% 94% 74% 38% 9% -
24 BRATU Max 100% 100% 97% 86% 58% 24% 4%
25 SON Isaac 100% 98% 82% 45% 10%
26 LUO Sebastian 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2%
27 XU Yunfei(Dorian) 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2% -
28 YONG Connor 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 2%
29 LEE Asher 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 9% -
30 WAGNER Miles 100% 77% 37% 10% 2% - -
31 ZHANG Jacob 100% 94% 68% 31% 8% 1%
32 CHEN Regis 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% -
33 CHEN Caleb 100% 68% 25% 5% - - -
34 ZHANG Renkui 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
35 YIN Henry Missing ID
36 CHAUDHARY Oliver 100% 73% 30% 6% -
37 CARPENTER Taisei 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
38 LAW Benjamin 100% 96% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
39 YADAV Aarav 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
40 GOOD Adam 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
41 LU Shawn 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4%
42 LAI Jaxon 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
43 HWANG Christopher 100% 62% 21% 4% - - -
44 KO Caden 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
45 ZHU David 100% 94% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
46 LIU FREDERICK 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
47 YONG Dylan 100% 99% 89% 59% 23% 4% -
48 XI Eric 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% - -
49 AGARWAL Avirat 100% 70% 28% 6% 1% -
50 SALIBA Jackson 100% 86% 48% 13% 1%
51 SARKAR Aum 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
52 SCHELTZ Owen 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3% -
53 MAK Nolan 100% 96% 78% 45% 16% 3% -
54 ZHU Peter 100% 85% 50% 17% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.