Mission RYC

Y-10 Women's Épée

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 CAHALANE Alexa 100% 100% 96% 72% 27%
2 CHOI Noah 100% 100% 95% 67% 21%
3 SALIBA Madison 100% 99% 93% 68% 30% 5%
3 DOROSHKEVICH Maria 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 5%
5 LIU Brinley 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
6 LEE Gloria 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
7 LEE Zerah 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1%
8 ERATA Selena 100% 99% 89% 50% 11%
9 MAO Faith 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
10 LIOU Skylar 100% 96% 73% 34% 7%
11 AINSWORTH Esme 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
12 FARIAS Francesca 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 33%
13 ANDERLE Lydia 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
14 STAFFORD T 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
15 SHANG Adeline 100% 81% 31% 5% -
16 ZHANG Grace 100% 90% 55% 19% 3% -
17 KIME Nora 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
18 LIAN Cailey 100% 89% 55% 18% 2%
19 CHO Angelina 100% 47% 8% 1% -
20 LUO MAOMAO 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% -
21 KANG HANA 100% 74% 32% 7% 1%
22 KIM Madeline 100% 70% 27% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.