Utah/Southern Idaho and Friends Epee League February

Senior Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 21, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Valkyrie Fencing Club - Salt Lake City, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HANSEN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
2 CARRIER Gabriel 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 42%
3 MADSEN Eric 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 23%
3 LITTLE Alex 100% 100% 76% 24% 2% -
5 CARRIER Meredith 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 20% 3%
6 WALLAK Jesse 100% 100% 100% 95% 58% 15% 1%
7 MAURIN Michael 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 45% 2%
8 SUCHOSKI Annika 100% 100% 98% 85% 56% 22% 4%
9 MICHAELIS Stephanina 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
10 SMITH Jared A 100% 82% 45% 15% 3% - -
11 DAVIDSON James 100% 86% 44% 9% - - -
12 BENNETT Leif 100% 100% 95% 69% 25% 3%
13 SZTAN Maria 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
14 GAN Shelby 100% 100% 94% 70% 31% 6% -
15 HEINZ Thurston 100% 96% 72% 30% 5% - -
16 GARRISON Shawn 100% 57% 14% 1% - - -
17 MOSES Owen 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
18 RALSTON Katy 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
19 VALENTINE Shem 100% 100% 59% 15% 1% -
20 BRIDGEWATER Beckman 100% 4% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.