Bellevue, WA - Bellevue, WA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | LARSEN Samuel F. | V V V V V | V V V V V V | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 2 | RAYLE Evan K. | V V D V V V | V V V V V D | 5.5 | 5 | -0.5 |
| 3 | TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet | V V V D V D | V V V V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 3 | SUVOROV Yuly | V V V V V | V V V V D | 3.3 | 5 | +1.7 |
| 5 | JONES Tristan Kai | V V V V V V | V V V D | 4.5 | 6 | +1.5 |
| 6 | VOLKMANN Daniel R. | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.4 | 6 | +0.6 |
| 7 | FERGUSON Ross A. | V V D V V | V V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 8 | DUCHOW Benjamin W. | D D V V V V | V V V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 9 | BODON Michele I. | V V V V V | V V D | 2.5 | 5 | +2.5 |
| 10 | MASON Alexander T. | V V V V V V | V V D | 4.3 | 6 | +1.7 |
| 11 | ROY Joseph T. | V V V V V | V V D | 3.0 | 5 | +2.0 |
| 12 | SLATER Jay N. | V V V V D D | V V D | 4.1 | 4 | -0.1 |
| 14 | NEALE James H. | D V V V D V | V V D | 3.4 | 4 | +0.6 |
| 15 | LEI Joshua | D V V V V D | V V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 16 | PALACIOS Justin M. | D D V D D | V V V D | 2.6 | 1 | -1.6 |
| 17 | JENSEN David | V V V V V D | V D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 18 | PERKA Michael | V V V D V | V D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 19 | WALLACE Patric | D V V V V | V D | 4.5 | 4 | -0.5 |
| 20 | ALGER Caleb (CJ) J. | V V D D V V | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 21 | MENEGOLI Lorenzo | V D V V V D | V D | 4.0 | 4 | - |
| 22 | LOEFFLER Carl | V V V D V D | V D | 3.2 | 4 | +0.8 |
| 23 | CRANOR Erich L. | V V V D D V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 24 | MCGAW Julian E. | V D V D V | V D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 25 | FULLER George K. | V V D V D | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 26 | RWAMASHONGYE Alexander J. | D V D V V | V D | 1.7 | 3 | +1.3 |
| 27 | JOHNSON Lucas W. | D V V D V | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 28 | STOLZ Robert | V D V D V | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 29 | BU Xianchen | D D V V V D | V D | 4.4 | 3 | -1.4 |
| 30 | SEGAL Mark N. | D D V V V D | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 31 | CLINEFELTER Dennis S. | V D D D V D | V | 3.2 | 2 | -1.2 |
| 32 | CLINGSHOFF Christopher | V D D D D | V D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 33 | VARNEY John R. | V V V D V V | D | 3.1 | 5 | +1.9 |
| 34 | LEE Tobias (Toby) T. | V V V D V V | D | 3.6 | 5 | +1.4 |
| 35 | CHANDLER Paul F. | V D V V V | D | 2.6 | 4 | +1.4 |
| 36 | JOHNSON Jeff | V D D V V V | D | 3.9 | 4 | +0.1 |
| 37 | MAKMATOV Vadim | D V D V V V | D | 3.3 | 4 | +0.7 |
| 38 | LUEDECKE Myles A. | D V D V V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 39 | MEHALL Michael | V V D V D | D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 40 | FRANK Fred | V D D V V | D | 2.5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| 41 | WILLIAMS Derek | V D D D V V | D | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 42 | CLAUSEN Matthew J. | V V D V D D | D | 3.8 | 3 | -0.8 |
| 43 | TEPEDELENLIOGLU Andres E. | D V D D V V | D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 44 | GREEN Joshua | D V D V D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 45 | EVANS Allen L. | D V V D D V | D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 46 | BLISS Atticus H. | D V D V D V | D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 47 | STOCK Jordan | V D V D V D | D | 2.0 | 3 | +1.0 |
| 48 | CRASWELL Andrew J. | V V D D D | D | 2.0 | 2 | - |
| 49 | KILUK Andrew | D D V V D | D | 1.0 | 2 | +1.0 |
| 50 | LAWLER Aidan | D V V D D | 2.0 | 2 | - | |
| 51 | DUCHOW Matthew D. | D D V D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 52 | KING Richard (Dick) M. | D V D D D V | D | 3.0 | 2 | -1.0 |
| 53 | WALKER William H. | D V D V D D | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 54 | DEO Ameya | D D V D V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 55 | BENTLEY-INOUYE Evan | D D D V V D | D | 1.7 | 2 | +0.3 |
| 56 | LIPTON Michael D. | V D D V D D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 57 | LI Brian X | V D D D D | V D | 2.0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| 58 | FLY Paul | D D V D D | V D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 59 | KOERBER Christopher T. | D D D V D D | V D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 60 | JEFFERIES Jonathan J. | V D D D D D | V D | 2.8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| 61 | CHOI Isaac | D D V D D D | V D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 62 | VANDERVELDE Pierce F. | D D D D D D | V D | 1.8 | 0 | -1.8 |
| 63 | MUNOZ Charles O. | D D D D D | V D | 3.2 | 0 | -3.2 |
| 64 | BERTONE Charles A. | D D D D D | D | 0.3 | 0 | -0.3 |
| 65 | JEARY Sean | D D D D D V | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 | |
| 66 | JACOBSON Kristian | D D V D D D | D | 1.9 | 1 | -0.9 |
| 67 | KLEIN Johannes | V D D D D | D | 1.5 | 1 | -0.5 |
| 68 | PENG Gregory | D D V D D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 69 | FREDRICKSON Eli | D D D D D V | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 70 | WESTMAAS Jonathan | D V D D D D | D | 1.6 | 1 | -0.6 |
| 72 | GRIDLEY Dustin | D D D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 73 | KIM Dan | D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.