2019 Battle in Seattle

Div I-A Men's Épée

Saturday, January 26, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Bellevue, WA - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LARSEN Samuel F. - - 6% 26% 44% 24%
2 RAYLE Evan K. - - - 1% 8% 35% 57%
3 TEPEDELENLIOGLU Mehmet - 1% 5% 18% 34% 31% 11%
3 SUVOROV Yuly - 2% 15% 39% 37% 6%
5 JONES Tristan Kai - - 2% 12% 31% 38% 17%
6 VOLKMANN Daniel R. - - - 2% 11% 37% 51%
7 FERGUSON Ross A. - 6% 23% 37% 27% 7%
8 DUCHOW Benjamin W. - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 7%
9 BODON Michele I. 3% 14% 31% 33% 16% 3%
10 MASON Alexander T. - - 4% 16% 34% 34% 12%
11 ROY Joseph T. 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
12 SLATER Jay N. - 1% 6% 20% 34% 29% 10%
14 NEALE James H. - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13% 1%
15 LEI Joshua - - 2% 12% 33% 38% 15%
16 PALACIOS Justin M. 2% 13% 31% 35% 17% 2%
17 JENSEN David - 3% 14% 30% 33% 17% 3%
18 PERKA Michael - 2% 16% 43% 32% 7%
19 WALLACE Patric - - 1% 8% 34% 57%
20 ALGER Caleb (CJ) J. 1% 6% 20% 34% 28% 10% 1%
21 MENEGOLI Lorenzo - 1% 6% 22% 37% 28% 6%
22 LOEFFLER Carl - 5% 20% 35% 29% 10% 1%
23 CRANOR Erich L. - 2% 12% 35% 35% 14% 2%
24 MCGAW Julian E. - 1% 7% 28% 42% 22%
25 FULLER George K. 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
26 RWAMASHONGYE Alexander J. 11% 32% 35% 18% 4% -
27 JOHNSON Lucas W. 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8%
28 STOLZ Robert - 1% 8% 30% 43% 19%
29 BU Xianchen - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 15%
30 SEGAL Mark N. 1% 6% 21% 36% 28% 8% 1%
31 CLINEFELTER Dennis S. - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
32 CLINGSHOFF Christopher 1% 16% 39% 33% 10% 1%
33 VARNEY John R. 1% 7% 22% 34% 26% 9% 1%
34 LEE Tobias (Toby) T. - 2% 13% 31% 35% 16% 3%
35 CHANDLER Paul F. 2% 13% 31% 34% 17% 3%
36 JOHNSON Jeff - 1% 8% 24% 36% 24% 6%
37 MAKMATOV Vadim - 4% 18% 34% 30% 12% 2%
38 LUEDECKE Myles A. 2% 15% 36% 34% 12% 1%
39 MEHALL Michael - 1% 5% 20% 41% 33%
40 FRANK Fred 1% 12% 36% 37% 14% 1%
41 WILLIAMS Derek 16% 37% 31% 13% 3% - -
42 CLAUSEN Matthew J. - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
43 TEPEDELENLIOGLU Andres E. 3% 18% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
44 GREEN Joshua 2% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1%
45 EVANS Allen L. 3% 20% 38% 28% 9% 1% -
46 BLISS Atticus H. 2% 14% 30% 32% 17% 4% -
47 STOCK Jordan 7% 25% 35% 24% 8% 1% -
48 CRASWELL Andrew J. 4% 26% 40% 24% 6% 1%
49 KILUK Andrew 32% 43% 20% 5% - -
50 LAWLER Aidan 3% 27% 41% 23% 5% -
51 DUCHOW Matthew D. 6% 23% 36% 26% 9% 1%
52 KING Richard (Dick) M. 1% 7% 25% 38% 23% 6% 1%
53 WALKER William H. 9% 31% 37% 19% 4% - -
54 DEO Ameya 12% 32% 34% 17% 4% - -
55 BENTLEY-INOUYE Evan 11% 32% 34% 18% 4% - -
56 LIPTON Michael D. 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
57 LI Brian X 7% 26% 36% 24% 7% 1%
58 FLY Paul 8% 31% 37% 19% 4% -
59 KOERBER Christopher T. 10% 35% 38% 15% 2% - -
60 JEFFERIES Jonathan J. 1% 10% 28% 36% 20% 5% -
61 CHOI Isaac 3% 19% 36% 29% 11% 2% -
62 VANDERVELDE Pierce F. 9% 30% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
63 MUNOZ Charles O. < 1% 4% 18% 37% 32% 9%
64 BERTONE Charles A. 73% 24% 3% - - -
65 JEARY Sean 18% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
66 JACOBSON Kristian 9% 29% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
67 KLEIN Johannes 10% 43% 39% 8% 1% -
68 PENG Gregory 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
69 FREDRICKSON Eli 14% 33% 32% 16% 4% 1% -
70 WESTMAAS Jonathan 13% 36% 34% 15% 3% - -
72 GRIDLEY Dustin 13% 34% 33% 15% 4% - -
73 KIM Dan 63% 32% 5% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.