W&M Conomikes-Gutenberg Memorial Open 2026

Div III Mixed Saber

Sunday, February 22, 2026 at 4:00 PM

William & Mary Adair Gym - Williamsburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BENE Andrew 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 19%
2 WANG Ziyao 100% 98% 84% 48% 12% 1%
3 HEANEY Sam 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 44% 12%
3 BENE Paul 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 34%
5 LIAO Sirui 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 9%
6 VU Mark 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
7 SU Ji 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
8 WALKER Terra 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
9 BRAMLETT Myer 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 7%
10 SUTHERLAND Jr. Richard L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 50%
11 OTT William 100% 95% 72% 34% 7% -
12 LAWLESS Elizabeth 100% 93% 60% 21% 4% - -
13 ALLEN Asa 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 18% 2%
14 MUSICK Takoda 100% 81% 41% 10% 1% -
15 HOWERTON Beckett 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
16 FRUTH Evan 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 10%
17 FANG Darcy 100% 86% 53% 21% 5% 1% -
18 SEMP Brannon A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 84% 39%
19 EVELYN Wyatt 100% 90% 54% 18% 3% -
20 PODDAR Shameek 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
21 WERNER Alexander 100% 97% 79% 41% 10% 1%
22 OWEN Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 19%
23 DADIO Daniel 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
24 BELL Gabriel 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% -
25 MOFFITT William 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
26 GIPE Caleb 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
27 RIVABEM William 100% 100% 96% 75% 31% 4%
28 SAE-TUNG Kevin 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% -
29 SCHUPPIN Charles 100% 62% 18% 2% - -
30 SILK Ryan 100% 76% 29% 4% - -
30 ZHU Samuel 100% 99% 72% 23% 3% -
32 DIEBLER Noah 100% 79% 37% 9% 1% -
33 CLEMMONS William 100% 80% 33% 6% - -
34 SHELLY Emery 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
35 JOSHI Sanika 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
36 JOHNSON Adelyn 100% 88% 53% 17% 3% -
37 DEWEEVER Aidan 100% 100% 94% 75% 43% 15% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.