Open Senior Epee Friday Night Fight

Senior Mixed Épée

Friday, February 27, 2026 at 6:00 PM

South Denver Fencing Academy - Centennial, CO, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 MOORE Jaret - - 2% 7% 15% 22% 24% 17% 9% 3% 1% - -
2 COLE Matthew - - - - - 1% 4% 12% 22% 27% 21% 9% 2%
3 COLLINS Payton - - 1% 4% 11% 21% 25% 21% 11% 4% 1% - -
3 SCHMIDT Leonard - - - - 2% 6% 15% 24% 26% 18% 8% 2% -
5 LIU Xiang - - - - - - 2% 7% 17% 27% 27% 16% 4%
6 SPATZ Kenneth - - 1% 5% 12% 21% 25% 20% 11% 4% 1% - -
7 DESAI Veer 1% 6% 17% 26% 25% 16% 7% 2% - - - - -
8 SUN Evan - 1% 5% 13% 22% 25% 19% 10% 4% 1% - - -
9 TAMAYO Elijah - 1% 4% 11% 20% 25% 21% 12% 5% 1% - - -
10 YI Min 2% 10% 22% 28% 22% 11% 4% 1% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.