Rain City Spring RJCC+RYC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, February 27, 2026 at 9:30 AM

Rain City Fencing Center - Bellevue, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LIU Nico 100% 99% 91% 61% 20%
2 WOLLOW Bennett 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
3 LAI Mars 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
3 YANG Aegon 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
5 XIA Henson 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
7 CHOI Brayden Yui Chit 100% 98% 82% 44% 10%
8 CHEN Alan 100% 98% 84% 54% 22% 5% -
9 LIU Nicholas 100% 92% 66% 31% 8% 1% -
10 PETTY Eliot 100% 97% 77% 37% 7%
11 MOODY-FUENTES Nelson 100% 96% 76% 41% 12% 1%
12 LEWIS Isaac 100% 97% 77% 38% 8%
13 LIU Kimtrell 100% 85% 49% 16% 3% -
14 MAGNAYE Jaezyn 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
15 WANG William 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
16 CAI Lucas 100% 45% 10% 1% -
17 CHEN Brandon 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 7% 1%
18 MA Garrison 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
19 CHIN Domyeong 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.