9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Y-14 Women's Saber

Friday, February 27, 2026 at 2:00 PM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BAEK Aileen 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 17%
2 GUO YUKI 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
3 SONG Phoebe 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
3 TAN Angela 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 11%
5 ZENG Stella 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
6 SUTHERLAND Sadie 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
7 TABANCAY Ava 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 2%
8 ASHIKHMINA Agniya 100% 99% 94% 76% 45% 16% 3%
9 JOHNSTON Sabrina 100% 99% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
10 FANG Lauren 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
11 KIM Hyunbi 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 48% 14%
12 CUI Andrea 100% 95% 74% 42% 15% 3% -
13 FISCHER Luna 100% 96% 80% 50% 21% 5% -
14 AHMED Jennah 100% 94% 70% 36% 11% 2% -
15 GUERVILLE Angelique 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
16 CHANG Kylie 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
17 WANG Makayla 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 21% 3%
18 CHEN Lydia 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 2% -
19 SAYONE Liliana 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
20 HOWARD Sasha 100% 96% 78% 47% 18% 4% -
21 DAVIS Layla 100% 98% 88% 61% 28% 7% 1%
22 KIM Hyunji 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 7% 1%
23 CASAVANTES Gabriela 100% 98% 87% 61% 29% 8% 1%
24 LABAZNIKOVA Alla 100% 73% 33% 9% 1% - -
25 TRAN Esme 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 10% 1%
26 WANG Jennifer 100% 70% 27% 6% 1% - -
27 ZHOU kelsey 100% 86% 53% 20% 5% 1% -
28 RO Manhattan 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.