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Event Results

Unrated Mixed Foil

The Winter's Edge OpenSurprise Map

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 9:30 AM EKU Campus Rec Center · Richmond, KY, USA
24 finishers
Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength
Birth year

Outcome Surprises

Legend

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 SIKORA Jonathan M. V V D V V V V V V 2.4 4 +1.6
2 REDEMANN Reagan V V V V V V V D 1.1 4 +2.9
3 SMITH Katherine E. V V V V V V V D 1.0 5 +4.0
3 GU Jonathan V V V V V V V D 1.3 5 +3.7
5 GLASS Kameron V D V V V D 2.6 3 +0.4
6 SATTERLY Avery V D V V V V D 2.3 4 +1.7
7 REDEMANN Shawn V D V V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
8 LEVERETTE Noah (Levonce) D V D V V V V D 2.5 3 +0.5
9 GULCZINSKI Jill-Renae V V V D D D 3.8 3 -0.8
10 BAUER Claire V V V D D V D 2.0 3 +1.0
11 SHULER Kiefer D V V D V V D 3.1 3 -0.1
12 ALLEN David M. D V D D V V D 2.8 2 -0.8
13 HAINES Holly D V D V D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
14 MESSMANN Brandon D D V V D D 2.4 2 -0.4
15 NEUMANN Nathaniel D V V D V D 2.9 2 -0.9
16 ORTIZ Aries D D D D D V D 1.9 0 -1.9
17 EDWARDS Tim V D D V V D 2.3 3 +0.7
18 BLAASE Tiffany D D V D D 1.2 1 -0.2
19 BAUER Eric Missing ID 0.0 0 -
20 BROWN Emma Rose D D V D D D 2.4 1 -1.4
21 BARO Carlos V D D D D D 3.1 1 -2.1
22 BAKER Shannon D D D D D 2.2 0 -2.2
23 SUSNER Lisa D D D D D D 2.9 0 -2.9
24 CAMPBELL Hannah D D D D D D 3.0 0 -3.0

Legend

Color Outcome Difficulty Win Probability
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%