The Winter's Edge Open

Unrated Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 9:30 AM

EKU Campus Rec Center - Richmond, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SIKORA Jonathan M. 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 1%
2 REDEMANN Reagan 26% 45% 24% 4% < 1%
3 SMITH Katherine E. 28% 47% 21% 4% - < 1%
3 GU Jonathan 18% 44% 29% 8% 1% < 1%
5 GLASS Kameron - 6% 32% 54% 8%
6 SATTERLY Avery 4% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
7 REDEMANN Shawn - 2% 13% 34% 38% 13%
8 LEVERETTE Noah (Levonce) 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2%
9 GULCZINSKI Jill-Renae - 1% 6% 26% 44% 24%
10 BAUER Claire 6% 25% 38% 25% 7% 1%
11 SHULER Kiefer - 4% 21% 42% 30% 3%
12 ALLEN David M. 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5%
13 HAINES Holly 3% 22% 39% 27% 8% 1%
14 MESSMANN Brandon 3% 17% 33% 30% 14% 2%
15 NEUMANN Nathaniel - 5% 24% 44% 27%
16 ORTIZ Aries 9% 29% 36% 21% 5% -
17 EDWARDS Tim 3% 19% 37% 30% 10% 1%
18 BLAASE Tiffany 22% 45% 27% 5% -
20 BROWN Emma Rose 2% 15% 38% 35% 10% 1%
21 BARO Carlos - 4% 20% 39% 30% 7%
22 BAKER Shannon 1% 18% 44% 31% 6%
23 SUSNER Lisa 1% 8% 25% 36% 24% 6%
24 CAMPBELL Hannah < 1% 6% 23% 36% 27% 8%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.