Event Results

Mixed Épée

The Winter's Edge OpenSurprise Map

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 10:30 AM EKU Campus Rec Center · Richmond, KY, USA

28 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	KOENIGSKNECHT Julian	V V V V V V	V V V V	4.9	6	+1.1
2	METZ Evan	V V V D V D	V V V V D	3.6	4	+0.4
3	TURNER Joshua	V D V V V V	V V V D	5.0	5	-
3	TRAN John	V D V V V V	V V V D	4.0	5	+1.0
5	EDWARDS Tim	V V V V V V	V D	5.0	6	+1.0
5	TOMASI John	V V V V V V	V D	3.9	6	+2.1
7	REDEMANN Shawn	V V V V V V	V D	4.4	6	+1.6
8	PUFFENBERGER Daniel	V D D V V V	V V D	3.4	4	+0.6
9	STAUBITZ Marc	V V V V D V	V D	2.3	5	+2.7
10	MUDD Dakota	D V D V V V	V D	3.1	4	+0.9
11	MCNARY Ross	V V V D D V	V D	2.6	4	+1.4
12	TERRILL Luke	D V D V V V	V D	3.0	4	+1.0
13	ANDERSON Noah	D V V D V V	V D	3.8	4	+0.2
14	WILLIAMS Jacob	D V D V D D	V D	3.2	2	-1.2
15	BATES Madison	D V D V D D	V D	1.8	2	+0.2
15	GILL Anhad	D V D D V D	V D	3.0	2	-1.0
17	ICE McKenna	D D V D V D	D	1.7	2	+0.3
18	WALKER Derek	V D D D D V	D	3.6	2	-1.6
19	NEUMANN Nathaniel	V D D D V D	D	3.7	2	-1.7
19	KINCAID Nathaniel	D D V V D D	D	3.4	2	-1.4
21	GIVAN Cury	D V D V D D	D	3.9	2	-1.9
22	INGRIM Adellia	V D V D D D	D	0.8	2	+1.2
23	DURR Anna	D D D D V D	D	0.9	1	+0.1
24	HARPER Harper	D V D D D D	D	3.3	1	-2.3
25	SMITH Ever	D D V D D D	D	1.2	1	-0.2
26	CRAFT David M.	D D D D D D	D	2.1	0	-2.1
27	LAGONA Anna	D D D D D D	D	1.8	0	-1.8
28	DUTTON Kimberly	D D D D D D	D	0.4	0	-0.4

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

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