Event Results
The Winter's Edge OpenSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SMITH Erick | V V V V V | V V V V | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 2 | XIE Ethan | V V D V V | V V V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 3 | ZHAO Zhiyong | V V V V V | V V D | 4.1 | 5 | +0.9 |
| 3 | TOMASI John | V V D V V | V V D | 4.6 | 4 | -0.6 |
| 5 | KOZINSKI Allison E. | V V V V | V D | 1.9 | 4 | +2.1 |
| 6 | METZ Evan | V D V V | V D | 1.6 | 3 | +1.4 |
| 7 | SIKORA Jonathan M. | V V D D | V D | 2.8 | 2 | -0.8 |
| 8 | BATES Austin | V D D V D | V V D | 3.6 | 2 | -1.6 |
| 9 | MUMFORD Josh | V V V V V | D | 3.9 | 5 | +1.1 |
| 10 | DEPP Edward | V V D V V | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 | |
| 11 | GLASS Kameron | D D V V V | D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 12 | GU Jonathan | D V V D D | V D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 13 | REDEMANN Reagan | D V V D D | V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 14 | SATTERLY Avery | D D V D V | V D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 15 | LEVERETTE Noah (Levonce) | D D D D | V D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 16 | ORTIZ Aries | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 17 | SMITH Katherine E. | D V D V D | 1.3 | 2 | +0.7 | |
| 18 | GENOVESE Isaac | D D V D V | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 19 | BARO Carlos | V D V D D | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 20 | REDEMANN Shawn | D D V D | D | 1.7 | 1 | -0.7 |
| 21 | TOMASI Samantha | V D D D D | D | 1.4 | 1 | -0.4 |
| 22 | BRENNER Ava | D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 0 | -1.2 |
| 23 | CAMPBELL Hannah | D D D D D | D | 0.6 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |