The Winter's Edge Open

Mixed Foil

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 1:30 PM

EKU Campus Rec Center - Richmond, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SMITH Erick - - - 2% 24% 73%
2 XIE Ethan - 1% 18% 51% 28% 2%
3 ZHAO Zhiyong - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
3 TOMASI John - - - 4% 33% 63%
5 KOZINSKI Allison E. 7% 27% 39% 23% 4%
6 METZ Evan 10% 34% 39% 16% 1%
7 SIKORA Jonathan M. - 5% 31% 45% 19%
8 BATES Austin - 1% 8% 31% 46% 14%
9 MUMFORD Josh - - 3% 23% 56% 18%
10 DEPP Edward - 1% 27% 53% 17% 1%
11 GLASS Kameron - 3% 19% 41% 32% 5%
12 GU Jonathan 5% 34% 42% 17% 2% -
13 REDEMANN Reagan 18% 39% 31% 11% 1% -
14 SATTERLY Avery 16% 41% 32% 10% 1% -
15 LEVERETTE Noah (Levonce) 6% 26% 38% 24% 5%
16 ORTIZ Aries 13% 59% 24% 3% - -
17 SMITH Katherine E. 14% 51% 29% 6% 1% -
18 GENOVESE Isaac 1% 17% 54% 26% 1% -
19 BARO Carlos 1% 9% 36% 45% 9% -
20 REDEMANN Shawn 7% 33% 42% 16% 1%
21 TOMASI Samantha 11% 42% 37% 9% 1% -
22 BRENNER Ava 19% 47% 31% 3% - -
23 CAMPBELL Hannah 51% 38% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.