The Winter's Edge Open

Unrated Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 2:30 PM

EKU Campus Rec Center - Richmond, KY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 ANDERSON Noah - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
2 TERRILL Luke 1% 6% 25% 39% 24% 5%
3 ICE McKenna 4% 22% 40% 27% 6% -
3 NEUMANN Nathaniel 1% 8% 28% 39% 21% 4%
5 BATES Madison 1% 12% 36% 36% 13% 2%
6 LORCHEIM Maxwell 1% 7% 29% 45% 18% 1%
7 MUDD Dakota - - 1% 13% 44% 42%
8 WILLIAMS Jacob - - 1% 14% 54% 30%
9 LAGONA Anna 5% 26% 41% 24% 3% -
10 MESSMANN Brandon - - 3% 20% 45% 31%
11 DURR Anna 25% 41% 25% 7% 1% -
11 KINCAID Nathaniel 1% 9% 26% 35% 23% 6%
13 DUTTON Kimberly 39% 43% 16% 2% - -
14 WALKER Derek 6% 26% 38% 24% 6% 1%
15 GIVAN Cury 4% 21% 39% 28% 8% 1%
16 HARPER Harper 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
17 SMITH Ever 10% 36% 37% 14% 2% -
18 KOENIGSKNECHT Michelle 7% 33% 41% 17% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.