MUS Winter Slash

Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Memphis University School - Memphis, TN, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4
1 MASSIE Jay Thomas 100% 80% 39% 10% 1%
2 BRICEÑO Orlando 100% 99% 92% 63% 20%
3 KAHR Edward L. 100% 94% 65% 22%
3 JOHNSON Soren 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
5 DONG Joshua 100% 92% 58% 14% 1%
6 FERRER DE OLIVEIRA Kenyn 100% 95% 70% 30% 5%
7 CHAMBERS Benjamin 100% 99% 90% 55% 14%
8 PHILLIPS Nathaniel (Nate) C. 100% 89% 50% 11%
9 MATTHEWS John 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
10 HILL Austin 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
11 KENNEDY Charles 100% 89% 53% 15% 2%
12 KNICK Canyon 100% 79% 34% 6%
13 TRAHAN Cooper 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
14 THOMAS Adrian 100% 93% 67% 29% 5%
15 PONZIO Emilio 100% 96% 72% 32% 6%
16 SHOOK Garrett 100% 93% 59% 18% 2%
17 HADSKEY Rowan 100% 68% 24% 4% -
18 TURNER Paul 100% 89% 50% 11%
19 HWANG Jungho 100% 79% 35% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.