The Tom Lucente Hangover Classic 2026

Senior Women's Épée

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SCHICKEL Juliana - - - 5% 32% 62%
2 NOLAN Sophia 1% 11% 29% 36% 20% 3%
3 BERGAN Bailey 1% 8% 25% 37% 24% 6%
3 KRECK Marie - - 2% 17% 64% 17%
5 GIGLIO Liliane 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% -
6 SHIN Jamie - 5% 21% 36% 29% 9%
7 THOMPSON Grace 24% 43% 26% 6% - -
8 VILLAVICENCIO Fiorella - 3% 14% 34% 36% 13%
9 AXELROD Charlotte 5% 23% 37% 27% 8% 1%
10 JOHNSTON Ashlyn 1% 8% 28% 38% 22% 4%
11 NANAYAKKARA Sanuthi 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
12 SULLIVAN Kailee 14% 35% 33% 15% 3% -
13 JOHNSTON Jessica 2% 24% 50% 21% 2% -
14 JOHNSTON Kira 16% 43% 34% 7% 1% -
15 D'ANGELO Olivia 4% 23% 42% 27% 4% -
16 MINER Eisley - 2% 18% 43% 30% 6%
17 MORRIS Michelle 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 4%
18 DROLET Julia 27% 45% 22% 5% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.