The Tom Lucente Hangover Classic 2026

Y-12 Mixed Saber

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 11:30 AM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MAZZURCO Marin 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
2 ZHAO Evan 6% 26% 39% 24% 5% -
3 SIMON Joseph 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 9%
3 LIN Martina 12% 45% 42% 1%
5 MAZZURCO Sydney 27% 47% 23% 3%
6 CHEN Remsen 4% 19% 34% 29% 12% 2%
7 ZHANG Luyang 16% 41% 34% 9%
8 CONWAY August 6% 23% 35% 25% 9% 1%
10 LI Lucy < 1% 10% 50% 40%
11 LI Michael < 1% 7% 28% 39% 22% 4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.