The Tom Lucente Hangover Classic 2026

Div III Mixed Épée

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 1:00 PM

Richmond Fencing Club - Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 MILLSON Daniel 100% 100% 96% 79% 44% 11%
2 STRAFFORD Andrew 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 4%
3 RAWSON Nicholas 100% 100% 96% 74% 36% 7%
3 PRAKASH Rahul 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 3%
5 ZIMSKY James 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
6 PRICE Owen 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
7 KARNAVAS William 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
8 CHONG Eden 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% -
9 DELONG Mike 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 21%
10 BOZARTH Alex 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
11 GRAMLICH Bradley 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
12 SHIN Jamie 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% -
13 CAMPBELL Paul 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
13 KELLEY Nathan 100% 97% 79% 40% 10% 1%
15 CHAN Ian 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
16 HUDSON Brian 100% 85% 44% 12% 1% -
17 SIMS Martin L. 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% -
18 SINGH Meet 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3%
19 JARRATT Isaac 100% 97% 82% 46% 14% 2%
20 FUERTE William 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
21 HAVERSON Civa 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% -
22 FAYVUSOVICH Emmanual 100% 99% 90% 57% 20% 3%
23 CASTRO Ryan 100% 92% 66% 29% 7% 1%
24 WU Jiachen 100% 98% 83% 44% 11% 1%
25 CARR Wesley 100% 97% 76% 34% 7% 1%
25 STANDISH Zachary 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
27 GIGLIO Liliane 100% 81% 34% 7% 1% -
28 SMITHSON Matthew 100% 89% 41% 9% 1% -
29 GUARDIOLA JR Oscar 100% 94% 70% 34% 8% 1%
30 MINER Eisley 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.