Long Island Challenge ROC & RPC

Div II Women's Saber

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 9:00 AM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Victoria 1% 7% 27% 42% 23%
2 ZHENG Winona - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
3 DESAUTELS Alexandra - 2% 10% 30% 40% 18%
3 GOODWIN Julia 3% 19% 36% 30% 11% 1%
5 HARRISON Allie - 2% 11% 30% 35% 19% 3%
6 BARNES Sarah - 2% 14% 36% 37% 11%
7 SMITH Genevieve 12% 35% 36% 15% 2%
8 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 2% 16% 35% 32% 13% 2%
9 MYAT Chloe - - 3% 16% 42% 38%
10 JAJRA Avni - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2%
11 KIM isabel 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
12 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. - 1% 10% 30% 40% 19%
13 MADDISON Erica 3% 20% 37% 28% 10% 2% -
14 JUNG Elise 7% 29% 39% 21% 4%
15 AN Jamie - 3% 17% 34% 32% 13% 2%
16 ZHANG Emily 6% 29% 40% 21% 5% -
17 BONNICK Madison 2% 18% 38% 30% 10% 1%
18 LEIGH Adalene 2% 13% 34% 38% 14%
19 CORPUS Hannah 3% 20% 39% 29% 9% 1%
20 LIAO Audrey 2% 17% 35% 30% 13% 2% -
21 LAYNE-STASIK Magdalena 47% 39% 12% 2% - -
22 CAMPISE Sophia 54% 37% 9% 1% - -
23 ZENG Jiawen 22% 41% 28% 8% 1%
24 BRANDON Em 57% 35% 8% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.