Long Island Challenge ROC & RPC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 12:15 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GEFELL Andrew P. - - - - 2% 18% 80%
2 FLOT Tai A. - - 1% 5% 23% 46% 25%
3 BARTOLO Domenic V. - - - - 5% 30% 65%
3 GHAYALOD ansh - - - 3% 17% 45% 35%
5 PORTER Dupree - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
6 DAI Zihou - 3% 15% 33% 33% 14% 1%
7 ZHAO Lucas - - 1% 5% 21% 42% 32%
8 LIM Brandon - 6% 24% 38% 25% 6% -
9 SUBA Lucas - 2% 13% 33% 37% 15%
10 CIEMINS Henry - 1% 4% 16% 33% 34% 13%
11 WONG Max - 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
12 CHEN Jonathan - - 2% 12% 32% 38% 16%
13 YU xiaodao 1% 7% 25% 36% 25% 7% -
14 ATWOOD Griffin - 5% 22% 38% 28% 7%
15 MEDVINSKY Daniel 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 9% 1%
16 WEI William 1% 11% 30% 35% 19% 4% -
17 KHOTLINE Daniel - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% -
18 WANG Max - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
19 SADHU Neiyam 1% 9% 30% 37% 19% 4%
20 LOO Jason - 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2%
21 KARAVAS Nicholas - 1% 8% 25% 38% 24% 3%
21 SRIVATS Vedh - 2% 10% 27% 36% 21% 4%
23 TOZZI Massimo - 1% 9% 27% 37% 22% 5%
24 LAMTAN Christoffer 1% 9% 25% 33% 23% 8% 1%
25 JI Johnson - - 2% 12% 32% 37% 16%
26 CAI Jeff - 2% 12% 28% 34% 19% 4%
27 LIANG Morgan 3% 16% 32% 31% 15% 4% -
28 COOKSON Leonardo 1% 9% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
29 LEE Andrew - 2% 14% 34% 36% 13%
30 LOSQUADRO Joseph 25% 44% 24% 6% 1% -
31 LUCAS William - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
32 FIROOZI Sam 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
33 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas - 3% 13% 29% 33% 19% 4%
34 GORDON Samuel 2% 15% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
35 HE Bowen 4% 19% 33% 29% 13% 3% -
36 CHENG Brandon 1% 6% 23% 35% 26% 8% 1%
36 DESAUTELS Connor 1% 13% 34% 34% 15% 2% -
38 MACK Justin 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
39 LORENZ Evan 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
40 BHASKAR Dhananjay K. 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 4% -
41 CRAWFORD William 4% 24% 39% 25% 7% 1% -
42 JAIDEVA Aakash 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
43 SAYAR Luke 13% 33% 33% 17% 4% 1% -
43 DOMINIQUE Remson - 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 1%
45 ZAY Elijah 16% 37% 31% 13% 2% - -
46 SHAPIRO Simon 6% 25% 38% 23% 7% 1% -
47 WU Vincent 13% 36% 34% 14% 3% - -
48 ZHANG Simon 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
49 HAUSLER Jayden 20% 40% 29% 9% 2% - -
50 JAGANNATHAN Ajay 19% 40% 30% 10% 2% - -
51 MATTOO Dhruv 6% 24% 35% 24% 9% 2% -
52 AMES Kylan 25% 45% 24% 6% 1% -
53 MARTINEZ Luke 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
54 SONG Ryan 54% 36% 9% 1% - - -
55 MUKHERJEE Aryan 51% 37% 11% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.