Long Island Challenge ROC & RPC

Div I-A Men's Saber

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 12:15 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GEFELL Andrew P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80%
2 FLOT Tai A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 25%
3 BARTOLO Domenic V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
5 PORTER Dupree 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
6 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 15% 1%
7 ZHAO Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
8 LIM Brandon 100% 100% 93% 70% 32% 6% -
9 SUBA Lucas 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
10 CIEMINS Henry 100% 100% 99% 95% 80% 47% 13%
11 WONG Max 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
12 CHEN Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
13 YU xiaodao 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% -
14 ATWOOD Griffin 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7%
15 MEDVINSKY Daniel 100% 99% 91% 67% 34% 10% 1%
16 WEI William 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
17 KHOTLINE Daniel 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 10% -
18 WANG Max 100% 100% 99% 95% 79% 46% 13%
19 SADHU Neiyam 100% 99% 90% 59% 23% 4%
20 LOO Jason 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 13% 2%
21 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 27% 3%
21 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
23 TOZZI Massimo 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
24 LAMTAN Christoffer 100% 99% 91% 66% 32% 9% 1%
25 JI Johnson 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 53% 16%
26 CAI Jeff 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
27 LIANG Morgan 100% 97% 81% 50% 19% 4% -
28 COOKSON Leonardo 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
29 LEE Andrew 100% 100% 98% 83% 49% 13%
30 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% -
31 LUCAS William 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 26% 5%
32 FIROOZI Sam 100% 94% 70% 35% 9% 1% -
33 NOTOPRADONO Nicholas 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
34 GORDON Samuel 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
35 HE Bowen 100% 96% 77% 44% 16% 3% -
36 CHENG Brandon 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 9% 1%
36 DESAUTELS Connor 100% 99% 85% 51% 17% 2% -
38 MACK Justin 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
39 LORENZ Evan 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
40 BHASKAR Dhananjay K. 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 4% -
41 CRAWFORD William 100% 96% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
42 JAIDEVA Aakash 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 3% -
43 SAYAR Luke 100% 87% 55% 21% 5% 1% -
43 DOMINIQUE Remson 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 18% 1%
45 ZAY Elijah 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
46 SHAPIRO Simon 100% 94% 69% 31% 8% 1% -
47 WU Vincent 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
48 ZHANG Simon 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1% -
49 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 80% 40% 11% 2% - -
50 JAGANNATHAN Ajay 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
51 MATTOO Dhruv 100% 94% 69% 35% 10% 2% -
52 AMES Kylan 100% 75% 30% 6% 1% -
53 MARTINEZ Luke 100% 44% 9% 1% - - -
54 SONG Ryan 100% 46% 10% 1% - - -
55 MUKHERJEE Aryan 100% 49% 13% 2% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.