Long Island Challenge ROC & RPC

Div II Women's Épée

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 1:30 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 XIAO Katelyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
2 WILLIAMSON Beatrix 100% 100% 97% 79% 35%
3 WANDMACHER GUERRERO Angela 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
3 HSU Catherine 100% 98% 85% 55% 21% 4% -
5 PETRIZZO Anna 100% 86% 46% 12% 1%
6 CHEN Alicia 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
7 CHAKRAPANI Tara 100% 99% 89% 56% 17% 2%
8 LIU Lillian 100% 98% 82% 43% 11% 1%
9 ORDORICA Abra 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
10 CHERNOBRIVETS Maria 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
11 BUES Caelan 100% 97% 71% 30% 6% -
12 LI Yixin Catherine 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 24%
13 ZHENG Kristen 100% 99% 90% 66% 33% 9% 1%
14 VITEVITCH Sophia 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
15 ALVAREZ Martine 100% 91% 57% 17% 2%
16 HALL Henrietta 100% 86% 49% 14% 2% -
17 DUNNE Jessica 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 8%
17 FOMINA Polina 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
19 LU HsinAi 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
20 SAJJA Anwita 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
21 ERIKSEN Kate 100% 98% 89% 64% 31% 8% 1%
22 BROWN Lynora 100% 86% 48% 13% 1% -
23 KHANNA Bhairavi 100% 74% 27% 4% - -
24 CHEN Sarah 100% 73% 29% 5% -
25 DEITZ Surabhi 100% 96% 70% 29% 5% -
26 CHEN Sunny 100% 100% 96% 76% 35% 6%
28 ZHANG Anna 100% 69% 24% 4% - -
29 IVANOV Angela-Sophie 100% 98% 87% 53% 15% 2%
30 DATSON Mia 100% 92% 67% 33% 10% 1% -
31 WESTERFELD Zoey 100% 42% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.