Long Island Challenge ROC & RPC

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OSPINA David - - - 1% 10% 38% 50%
2 HAN Alexander - 1% 7% 25% 40% 23% 4%
3 WONG Jacob W. - - - 1% 8% 39% 52%
3 REYES Yannik - 6% 35% 40% 16% 2%
5 YANG David H. - 1% 6% 26% 43% 24%
6 SFINTESCU Alex - 2% 10% 29% 39% 20%
7 ZHENG Austin 4% 20% 37% 29% 9% 1% -
8 GRUNENWALD Henri - - 5% 23% 44% 27%
10 GLICKSBERG Alexander 1% 11% 31% 36% 18% 3%
11 HOLMES Alexiy - 1% 9% 30% 42% 19%
12 SHANNON Jack - - 2% 16% 43% 38%
13 THOMAS Liam - 1% 11% 36% 40% 12%
14 GALLER Dave - - 3% 19% 40% 30% 7%
15 BENTLEY Nick - - - 5% 25% 51% 19%
16 ZHANG Julian 1% 8% 29% 39% 20% 3%
17 OH Joshua - - - 5% 25% 44% 26%
18 BAS Jonathan - 5% 19% 35% 31% 10%
19 XIA Philip 5% 25% 39% 24% 6% < 1%
20 GORLOVITZKI Amitai - - 1% 10% 34% 40% 15%
21 MCENTEE Owen - 1% 6% 24% 42% 27%
22 LIU Jeremy 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1%
23 WANG Xicheng 9% 31% 36% 19% 5% 1% -
24 DEEB Adam - - 4% 22% 44% 29%
25 WAYBRIGHT Matteo - 1% 7% 26% 44% 23%
26 MULLIGAN Kevin - 1% 6% 27% 45% 21%
27 HUSOCK Dillon 11% 34% 36% 16% 3% - -
28 MONTALBINE Aidan - 3% 15% 36% 37% 10%
29 SMITH Colin 7% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
30 CHANG Zane - 3% 14% 34% 37% 11% 1%
31 QUAN Noah 49% 41% 9% 1% - -
32 TAM Kyle 2% 16% 44% 30% 7% 1%
33 CHASE William (Will) 1% 13% 40% 34% 11% 1%
34 AMRANI David 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
35 CHENG Karter 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
36 CHANG Xavier - 1% 8% 34% 38% 16% 2%
37 SCHWARTZ Seth 11% 33% 35% 17% 4% -
38 BERETICH Brian 1% 14% 36% 34% 13% 2%
39 KANG Hunter 31% 41% 22% 5% 1% -
40 KINGSLEY Griffin - 2% 20% 43% 29% 6%
41 PEREZ Logan 1% 9% 29% 37% 20% 3%
42 MCGREEVY Gavin 33% 45% 19% 3% - -
43 LAI Elvin 10% 31% 36% 18% 4% - -
44 CHO Alexander 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 2%
45 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman - - 2% 13% 38% 39% 7%
46 XU Lucas 3% 18% 36% 30% 11% 1%
47 LU Hansen 3% 23% 40% 27% 7% 1%
48 QIAN Zekai 1% 11% 34% 36% 15% 2%
49 GONZALEZ DE COSIO ALVAREZ Iker 29% 56% 14% 1% - -
50 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 1% 17% 53% 24% 4% - -
51 ZHANG Ethan 4% 21% 38% 28% 8% 1% -
52 BULIN Jack 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
52 TANG Jeremy - 4% 19% 37% 30% 9%
54 COREAS Jonathan 14% 36% 34% 14% 2% - -
55 RUPP Keegan E. 2% 16% 36% 34% 11% 1% -
56 DHAMIJA Viraaj 45% 45% 10% 1% - - -
58 PALMER Jason M. 33% 53% 13% 1% - - -
59 GRAY Toby R. 6% 28% 41% 20% 4% -
60 ELSAYED Ahmed 26% 42% 25% 7% 1% - -
61 TURCIOS Marvin 3% 22% 41% 26% 7% 1%
62 PLOSSER Charlie 24% 46% 24% 5% - -
62 LYONS Kellen 53% 41% 6% - - -
64 LEE Aeden 12% 33% 34% 17% 4% -
65 BEGUE DE RIESTHAL Max 49% 39% 11% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.