Long Island Challenge ROC & RPC

Div II Men's Foil

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 2:30 PM

Mission Fencing Center - Rocky Point, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 OSPINA David 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
2 HAN Alexander 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 27% 4%
3 WONG Jacob W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 52%
3 REYES Yannik 100% 100% 94% 59% 18% 2%
5 YANG David H. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
6 SFINTESCU Alex 100% 100% 98% 88% 59% 20%
7 ZHENG Austin 100% 96% 77% 39% 10% 1% -
8 GRUNENWALD Henri 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 27%
10 GLICKSBERG Alexander 100% 99% 88% 56% 20% 3%
11 HOLMES Alexiy 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
12 SHANNON Jack 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38%
13 THOMAS Liam 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 12%
14 GALLER Dave 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
15 BENTLEY Nick 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 19%
16 ZHANG Julian 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 3%
17 OH Joshua 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 70% 26%
18 BAS Jonathan 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 10%
19 XIA Philip 100% 95% 70% 31% 6% < 1%
20 GORLOVITZKI Amitai 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15%
21 MCENTEE Owen 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27%
22 LIU Jeremy 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
23 WANG Xicheng 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% 1% -
24 DEEB Adam 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 29%
25 WAYBRIGHT Matteo 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
26 MULLIGAN Kevin 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 21%
27 HUSOCK Dillon 100% 89% 54% 18% 3% - -
28 MONTALBINE Aidan 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 10%
29 SMITH Colin 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
30 CHANG Zane 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 12% 1%
31 QUAN Noah 100% 51% 10% 1% - -
32 TAM Kyle 100% 98% 82% 38% 8% 1%
33 CHASE William (Will) 100% 99% 86% 46% 12% 1%
34 AMRANI David 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
35 CHENG Karter 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
36 CHANG Xavier 100% 100% 99% 91% 57% 18% 2%
37 SCHWARTZ Seth 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
38 BERETICH Brian 100% 99% 84% 48% 14% 2%
39 KANG Hunter 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% -
40 KINGSLEY Griffin 100% 100% 98% 78% 35% 6%
41 PEREZ Logan 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
42 MCGREEVY Gavin 100% 67% 23% 4% - -
43 LAI Elvin 100% 90% 58% 23% 5% - -
44 CHO Alexander 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
45 ABDELGAWAD Abdelrahman 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 46% 7%
46 XU Lucas 100% 97% 79% 43% 13% 1%
47 LU Hansen 100% 97% 74% 34% 8% 1%
48 QIAN Zekai 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
49 GONZALEZ DE COSIO ALVAREZ Iker 100% 71% 15% 1% - -
50 CONVERSO-PARSONS Alexander 100% 99% 82% 29% 5% - -
51 ZHANG Ethan 100% 96% 75% 37% 9% 1% -
52 BULIN Jack 100% 73% 30% 7% 1% -
52 TANG Jeremy 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
54 COREAS Jonathan 100% 86% 50% 16% 2% - -
55 RUPP Keegan E. 100% 98% 82% 45% 12% 1% -
56 DHAMIJA Viraaj 100% 55% 10% 1% - - -
58 PALMER Jason M. 100% 67% 15% 1% - - -
59 GRAY Toby R. 100% 94% 66% 25% 4% -
60 ELSAYED Ahmed 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
61 TURCIOS Marvin 100% 97% 75% 34% 7% 1%
62 PLOSSER Charlie 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% -
62 LYONS Kellen 100% 47% 7% - - -
64 LEE Aeden 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
65 BEGUE DE RIESTHAL Max 100% 51% 12% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.