9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 8:00 AM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHEN Cindy - - - - 5% 31% 64%
2 TABANCAY Ava - - 1% 6% 24% 43% 26%
3 ZHAO Audrey 18% 40% 31% 10% 1%
3 YU Sydney - 1% 6% 21% 36% 29% 8%
5 GUO YUKI - 2% 11% 31% 37% 17% 2%
6 WANG Makayla - - 3% 13% 31% 37% 17%
7 WANG April - - 1% 8% 27% 43% 21%
8 SUTHERLAND Sadie - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
9 FISCHER Luna - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 3%
10 LUC Christabel - - 2% 13% 36% 40% 8%
11 TAN Angela 1% 10% 32% 40% 17%
12 RO Manhattan 2% 14% 33% 33% 15% 3% -
13 LIU Kaylee 2% 11% 27% 33% 20% 6% 1%
14 HAN yujie 18% 40% 31% 10% 1%
15 ZENG Stella - - - 2% 14% 41% 43%
16 GUERVILLE Angelique - 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 4%
17 CUI Andrea - 2% 12% 32% 37% 15% 1%
18 ASHIKHMINA Agniya 1% 9% 29% 41% 20%
19 AHMED Jennah 3% 17% 35% 30% 13% 3% -
20 WANG Jennifer 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
21 LAVELLE Ariel 16% 38% 33% 11% 2% - -
22 KIM Addison 6% 25% 40% 24% 5%
23 ZHOU kelsey 7% 28% 37% 21% 5% 1% -
23 YANG Callie 6% 26% 37% 23% 7% 1% -
25 CHANG Jillian 10% 32% 37% 18% 4% - -
26 ZHOU Charlotte - 1% 8% 23% 36% 25% 7%
27 QIU Isla Qiu 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% - -
29 YANG annie 11% 32% 36% 18% 4% - -
30 LEHER Evelyn 4% 20% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
31 KOH Madison 31% 42% 21% 5% - - -
32 SEELMAN Alexa 6% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1% -
33 SU Stacy 18% 40% 31% 10% 1% - -
34 WANG YUHAN 25% 40% 25% 8% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.