9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Cadet Women's Saber

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 LIN Ariel 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
2 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
3 KIM Alexia 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
3 CHANG Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 94% 69% 26%
5 CHENG Zijuan "Grace" 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
6 CHENG Anna 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
7 DENG Oscar 100% 99% 88% 60% 24% 4%
8 YU Sydney 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1%
9 SHI Maxine 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
10 DING Jolie 100% 100% 96% 73% 24%
11 BAEK Aileen 100% 100% 93% 65% 26% 4%
12 STAPLEY Claire 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8%
13 ZHANG Cecilia 100% 91% 51% 12% 1%
14 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
15 VILLAMATER Mia Franchesca 100% 100% 92% 60% 21% 3%
16 DAVIS Layla 100% 80% 39% 11% 1% -
18 WANG Makayla 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 3%
19 JUNG Sienna 100% 100% 99% 87% 54% 14%
20 JOHNSTON Sabrina 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% -
21 SONG Phoebe 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 2%
21 ZENG Stella 100% 100% 93% 66% 26% 4%
23 ENNIS Charlotte 100% 97% 78% 38% 8% 1%
24 SON Ellie 100% 97% 81% 46% 15% 2%
25 SUTHERLAND Sadie 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
26 KISARA-KELLY Aiko 100% 96% 58% 18% 3% -
27 WELCH Greta 100% 93% 57% 14% 1%
28 YUMIACO Samantha 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
29 LABAZNIKOVA Alla 100% 57% 15% 2% - -
30 FANG Lauren 100% 76% 35% 9% 1% -
31 ROPER Dova 100% 47% 9% 1% -
31 CHEN Lydia 100% 86% 42% 10% 1% -
33 CHAN Maggie 100% 91% 58% 22% 4% -
34 HOWARD Sasha 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% -
35 LEE Alana 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% -
36 SHACKLEFORD Alessandra 100% 17% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.