9th Annual Sword in the Stone RYC & RJCC

Y-12 Men's Saber

Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 4:00 PM

Happy Stages - North Hollywood, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
2 WANG James 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 43% 10%
3 DESAI Arthav 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
3 LOPEZ Mateo 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
5 MOROAICA Seiku 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 30%
6 FU BRANDEN 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 44%
6 WANG David 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 11%
8 EKAMBARAM Rithik 100% 100% 98% 90% 66% 31% 7%
9 WANG Darren 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 33% 6%
10 LI Jason 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 27% 4%
11 CHOI LIAM 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 14%
12 FAN Yuchen 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
13 LUO Gavin 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 51% 16%
14 QI Zach 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 8%
15 HSIEH Sebastian 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
16 CONCANNON Jackson 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
17 LEI Isaac 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 15% 2%
18 YE Aaron 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
19 JI Derek 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
20 WONG Alexander 100% 96% 78% 45% 17% 3% -
21 DING Orlando 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 11% 1%
22 CAO Chuck 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
23 HSIEH Maxwell 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 14% 2%
24 TABANCAY Cole 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 28% 6%
25 SO Cheston 100% 98% 82% 48% 16% 3% -
26 CHEN Aaron 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
27 CHEN Maorui 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
28 LI Edward 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
29 QIAO Jason 100% 97% 81% 50% 20% 4% -
29 SUN alan 100% 96% 77% 42% 13% 2% -
31 FAN Yuen 100% 99% 90% 64% 30% 7% 1%
32 LIU Jayden 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
33 XIN Ryan 100% 87% 52% 18% 3% - -
34 BURKHART Camden 100% 97% 82% 51% 20% 4% -
35 BOOKER Gavin 100% 93% 67% 32% 9% 1% -
36 WANG Chuyun 100% 81% 43% 14% 3% - -
37 CHANG Allen 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
38 WU August 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 7% 1%
39 CHOI Theo 100% 79% 40% 13% 2% - -
40 BROWN Eli 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
41 LAM Dylan 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
42 LEE Albert 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
43 NGUYEN Tristan 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
44 KHUU HALL Gibson 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
45 YOON Jacob 100% 98% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
46 CHEN Donovan 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
47 YUEN Aulden 100% 60% 19% 3% - -
48 KIM Dylan 100% 91% 63% 27% 7% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.