DFA Winter Finale

Senior Mixed Épée

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM

Davis Fencing Academu - Davis, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 WANG Devin 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 14%
2 LI Yunji (Rain) 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 11%
3 HICKS Zachary 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 37%
3 PIVOVAROV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
6 MCNAMARA Scott 100% 100% 97% 77% 29%
7 HEINS Dylan 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 17%
8 CHILDS Addison 100% 98% 81% 42% 12% 1%
9 KENNY Oliver 100% 100% 97% 83% 47% 12%
10 TAGKOPOULOS Pagkratios 100% 99% 82% 33% 5%
11 HELGE James 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 31%
12 LIN Shenghai 100% 99% 87% 47% 10% 1%
13 LIN Daniel 100% 94% 68% 28% 5% -
14 SCHIPPER Johann 100% 94% 60% 22% 4% -
15 LIN Jason 100% 99% 87% 53% 15% 1%
16 SMITH Jackson 100% 58% 15% 2% - -
17 CANNAERT Ethan 100% 100% 94% 67% 23%
18 SCHRUPP SIlas 100% 90% 19% 1% -
19 SIVASANKAR Aman 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
20 KINCHELOE Mark 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% -
21 KHANT Kay Kay 100% 63% 19% 3% -
22 LIN Andrew 100% 99% 91% 54% 13% 1%
23 PARK Sebastian 100% 74% 22% 3% - -
25 MCCANN Hunter 100% 86% 48% 13% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.