Manhattan Fencing Center Saber Liberty Cup

Y-12 Men's Saber

Sunday, March 1, 2026 at 1:15 PM

Manhattan Fencing Center - New York, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ISAYENKO Daniel - - - 5% 30% 65%
2 HU Simon - - - 2% 16% 44% 37%
3 KRISHNARASA Aiyann 1% 9% 32% 42% 16%
3 MOGUNOV Alan - - 1% 6% 26% 46% 22%
5 DENSEN Leo 1% 12% 35% 38% 13%
6 YU Dylan 1% 9% 29% 40% 20% 2%
7 BLACK Bennett 3% 21% 42% 28% 6%
8 LI Xinren 12% 33% 34% 16% 3% - -
9 PALERMO Evan 1% 8% 29% 42% 20%
10 KAPLAN Richard - 3% 19% 44% 33%
11 VITALE NIKO 12% 40% 35% 11% 1%
12 LEE Marcus 2% 14% 37% 36% 12%
13 ADOLPHUS March - 4% 20% 41% 30% 4%
14 HUANG Kimball 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -
15 NG Ryley 15% 39% 33% 12% 2% -
16 BUCHANAN Kyle 8% 28% 36% 21% 6% 1% -
19 CENEDELLA Izaac 47% 41% 11% 1% -
20 BARAKH Adam 1% 6% 22% 36% 27% 7% 1%
21 BELTRAN-PRATS Enzo 6% 27% 39% 22% 5% -
22 KIM Apollo 43% 41% 14% 2% -
24 LEE Lucas 24% 43% 26% 7% 1% -
25 LI-CHUA Theodore 10% 39% 37% 13% 2%
26 LI Max 4% 18% 35% 30% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.